Posts Tagged ‘trade selection’

Key points for Successful Day Trading

Monday, February 7th, 2011

2-7-11;

Day trading is a very sought after profession. Many try, but few last. Why is that and what can be done for those who really want to overcome the barriers? There is no substitute for experience and being exposed to the daily market fluctuations that take place every day. Short cuts, to help speed up the process can be to find a sound trading method to build upon. This can cut down some of the learning curve for those who pursue this, but it is not the final answer. The individual trader is where the responsibility lies for success.

Every traders comes with different baggage from his past and many of those can be very negative and hidden deep within the subconscious. It is essential to know who you are and what limitations you may have from your past. Uncovering some of this first, will go a long way to overcoming your personal trading barriers.

Every trader needs to know what kind of trader they really are. If you try and trade a style that is not part of your stronger inner traits, you are not in sync with yourself and the markets. So, take time to examine that.

Me personally, I don’t like staying in a trade very long and look to exit on strength rather than on weakness. Knowing that ahead of time even as a scalp trader, I am lining up with my strength’s and the results are improved.

Being successful once you have a good idea of what to do and what you are looking for, is money management. Without this, you are going to suffer. I always try and measure how much is in the move, or where it is naturally and likely to move to. Then I try and underestimate that a bit to be sure I will get there.

The first part of the equation happens before you get into the trade, that would be trade selection. Knowing which trades to take and which ones to pass on is very important. This part is called discretionary trading and when combined with rules and principals to follow, is the best kind of trading with the best results. This would separate what is called a trading system from a trading method. Discretionary trading is putting everything you know about the market and its character to your advantage with a buy or sell signal.

Trading systems are not discriminatory, as they take signals from a predefined set of conditions automatically, putting you in the trade as those conditions are met. The problem is, if and when you hit a draw down, you are either going to keep trading it or stop. When you stop, that is the likely time that it will turn around and start to recover from its earlier losses, but without you. As you re-enter, thinking it is back on track, it then again starts to suffer draw downs and you are again underwater. This is frustrating for many traders I am sure. I never traded that way with a mechanical system but I do know the scenario’s that it plays out.

A trading method, is going to have discretionary trades to take and pass on. You need to interpret the current market conditions and see if they are favorable per your trading method conditions. If parts are missing, you are better off to pass. If the ingredients are all their, proceed and do not hesitate. This is the biggest difference between the two approaches.

To trade a method successfully, you really need to get comfortable with it and that is going to take time. To many traders rush into the trading pit and want to see what they can do. That is fine, but when the time is right. If you are going to go college for a degree, they don’t hand one out in 3 months and say thanks for coming. It is a long term venture of commitment, passion and desire what will take them to their goals. Becoming any professional is no minor operation, just the same as becoming a successful trader. It takes time to know how price reacts to different market conditions. You can jump start that, but their is no substitute for this. Those traders that have a years mindset, as a opposed to a weeks and months mindset, know that it is the truly committed who will persevere and overcome.

The other thing is having realistic weekly and monthly goals. As daytraders we strive to be profitable every day, but that is not always going to happen for sure. Shooting for a weekly and monthly profitability goal is more realistic. If you apply to much preasure on yourself in any one day that you are off, you will force trades and make mistakes trying to come back. If you have a daily loss limit, you always know ahead of time what is the worst thing that is going to happen this day. You don’t have to wait until your losses mount either, as if you are off, you can always stop before that threshold is reached. Having a weekly and monthly goal helps to release some of that market performance pressure. You always have tomorrow when market conditions are likely more favorable.

To recap; A trading method is better than a trading system, but it can be harder and take longer to master. The end results are improved performance and you maintaining control. Money management, a key to success. Without it, you will not make money. Take what the market gives easily and freely, and exit what becomes a struggle. Protecting profits and moving up your stops are a key part of that management.

Every trade starts out as a scalp for me, until the market proves itself. Scaling out is another key part of that trade management. Taking a small piece of that easy trade can allow you to stick around for the rest of the trade to develop into more without the fear of quickly giving it all back and the trade becoming a looser. All apart of trade and money management.

All of this comes with time and experience as you follow the markets. A few more things,  price always comes first. Be a student of “price” and see how indicators reflect that, not the other way around. Lastly, do not forget how time plays a very important role in all of this. “Time and Price go together”.

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No trading on Friday and today. There is something wrong with the price data at Trade Station. The tick charts are way off, posting like 5 times as many bars as normal. I don’t want to try and trade what I don’t understand, not worth it. It started from the afternoon session on Friday and has continued into today. Lets hope they fix it soon. Any comments from traders on this welcomed.

Trading & Risk Management

Wednesday, March 24th, 2010

Today is Wednesday March 24th and we had a little pull back in the major index’s, -5 points on the S&P, -52 on the Dow and -16 on the NASDAQ.

Today’s action was quite normal given the large run up over the past weeks. The market still has plenty of room to move sideways and rest. We saw an inside day for the S&P  futures from yesterdays range. This will build a bit of pressure for Thursdays session. A break out above 1166 should bring us higher prices and a break below 1161 should produce lower prices. Those are pretty key area’s as of now going into tomorrows session. Currently we are right in the middle at 1164.50.

Today I am going to talk about managing risk. This is a question that comes up all the time and I will go over a few points here on the subject.

Risk management is essential to surviving the trading game. I have mentioned recently in my previous posts this last week that a 1 to 1 risk ratio is alright as long as you are right more than you are wrong, sounds pretty simple and it is. I know many traders trade only the same amount on every trade and if that works for them, I guess that is fine. But let me give you an alternative idea. If you are trading poorly and have gone back and forth with no progress, I would suggest to decrease your size if possible, until the best opportunities come along. Waiting the market out, for favorable price pattern opportunities is the best, but if you continue, it is better to decrease your size until you start to see the best opportunities come to you.

There are definitely better trade conditions on some days over others. On the days things do not seem clear, you are better off to trade very small and or wait. I recommend waiting until you are sure you have the edge. If you jump into the market and expect things to fall your way, when you have not done the work necessary to give yourself the trading edge, in this case, “Waiting”, which is a trade position, you can not expect to come out on top.

Waiting the market out, for the trading edge, is as I mentioned “a trade position”. It is a “no position” and that is just as important as putting on a position. Try and let that sink in just a bit. Often, traders will expect, hope, wish and want the conditions that they seek to make there trading goal for the day.

I have to watch this myself and I do, if it does not posses the qualities that gives me the edge, you have to wait. Most of the time if you are a scalper, looking to take a point or more from the S&P futures, you wont have to wait long. By waiting 10-20 minutes, especially in the morning open, you will get a whole new set of reads and new opportunities that will jump out at you or it should.  If it doesn’t, I will use an over used term, but it applies, “Just say No”. You are not under any obligation to take a trade, after all, we are traders and we trade market not the other way around.  The market does not make us trade, we trade against the market and other professionals.

If we are going to have money on the line, we need to be sure that we have the trading edge. Some traders may be saying, what is that and how do I get it? You need to have a model, method or approach that is consistent. Many struggle trying to find this and there are no easy answers. It needs to something that will always work and I would say based on price and its predictable movements. This is the best in my estimation. In addition, once you have that, you will need to get familiar with it and practice. The practice is going to bring the confidence you need to give you the results you are looking for.

If you are going to control your risk, you will have to look to exit the trade if you start to loose the advantage. That is what I do, if I don’t get the results I am looking for after entering a new position. Order placement is going to be the key. If you place your order to buy or sell and you overpay for that position, you run the risk of getting taken out, if you run a small stop. There is a way to do this and keep your risk down. Most traders are not able to find the “Sweet Spot”, in there order placement, but that is what is needed to make this work.

Trade selection and order placement are key components to risk management. Don’t look to trade every twist and turn. If you have a modest trading goal for the day and I think traders should, you only need to break this down into a few  trades. If they are the right trades using method trade selection and you trade multiple contracts, you always have the option to scale out. I know for a fact that lots of traders do not like doing this. The reasoning, if I can get two points on 4 contracts, why not take it all instead of half. The point is, you don’t always know if you are going to see the 2 points in the first place. What started out as a nice gain turns into a loss and creates frustration. “Trade by exception, you will be glad you did”

No trading for me today, I was traveling to the S.F. bay area.  I may continue with this line of reasoning in tomorrows post, so until then.  Good Trading and be Safe ! GMR62JYPQ7EG