Posts Tagged ‘tick charts’

New Highs for the Market again, market call on target!

Tuesday, October 12th, 2010

Today is Tuesday October 12th, 2010 and we are seeing higher prices with more to come as the market pulls an about face off of a premarket sell-off.

We saw a big reversal today with the market recovering all of the gap that we saw on the open and then some. I did have the gap clearly in my mind as the morning session was getting under way. I missed several good crystal clear trades after the open and started my day with a 1 point S&P futures loss. Came back just after with an OK entry for a three point gains, followed by a small scalp trade to finish the day. I did have a flat trade after that, but had to leave the room for a moment to long before I could take 1 point off, my original plan. I ended that trade flat as stated, but ended the day up for a modest daily goal.

Nothing to exiting there today, as I have been taking off early and have not had much screen time the past week. This will continue into the rest of this week as I have a few other things going on. I will try and get a few points before I take off but that is how my days are going right now. It will change back to having a bit more time to settle into the trading session and do some training video’s for my students, but I have to take one day at a time right now. Next week will be more settled for me. ( I guess out of default, I will be showing my trades for a while until I can come up with something else in a different time frame or something different, not decided)

It was nice to see that the market ended the day on high note. I know their is so much bad news out their that what is happening within the markets, does not seem to exactly reflect the current financial environment.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Foreclosure-freeze-could-apf-3924319053.html?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=9&asset=&ccode=

Their was a ton of fraud going on in the mortgage industry and it was not going to come out good for the home owner. Their can be a lot of finger pointing and blame to go around, on both sides, but the fact is, the mortgage industry has shut down basically all foreclosures on homes until they can get a handle on what is happening. This is bad news long term, but it is not so bad right now. This all plays into my theory of an expanding market until some event or catalyst kicks into gear. That will take the market down fast and furious, but just not yet. We are building into that as we speak, with the market moving into an area that will yet again captivate the public to invest again. They will not see what is coming as usual and get hurt again.

The market sentiment will give you the sign as to when this fleecing will be rip for the fraudsters to start the cycle all over again. Right now, they are drawing the public and any other, willing to buy into this rally. So, buyer beware is the story of the day. Their is likely more to go as I do see higher prices coming. I put out a few numbers last month and updated that last week and we are getting closer every day to hitting it. I will do a recap over the weekend on what I think and where we are in the cycle. This is all readable as I so often do, read the market. It can be done on  daily charts, hourly, minutes, or any other measure of movement, like tick charts, volume charts or range charts, all of which are pretty popular to traders.

So I will pick it up tomorrow and go from their.   Good Trading to all, from Vince

Market Update and Recap of Next Market Move

Sunday, June 20th, 2010

Vince here from Sniper Day Trading, showing an extra week end post for Friday’s session on the S&P emini’s.

I have a recap of Fridays session on the S&P’s narrow range (only 8 points) and comments on the pre-market move of the S&P futures. There seems to be a very good move under way which should carry forward into Mondays session and push the market index’s up after the open.

Just one note on the price range we are currently hitting. This is now at a very minimum, satisfied the price objective that I called for on June 9ths blog post. Over a week ago while the market had closed the session at 1051.25 I said that we were at a breaking point and was leaning for a move to the upside but was cautious of a break to new lows. With a break of the days highs at 1073 (new contract price) we will quickly be on our way to a minimum of 1122 to 1142 with taking 1132 as the middle average. Currently we are at 1126.75 in the pre-market move Sunday afternoon.

From the days close 6 trading sessions ago at 1051 to today’s price of 1126 that is a 75 S&P point move. When you take it from the break out which really confirmed the move 5 trading days ago, that is still a 54 point trading move. That move was the easy and obvious to me and is what I would be looking at if trading a small tick chart just the same. When you know how to trade small time frames, you can trade any time frame and any trading instrument. In monitoring my own calls for large moves like this, I have done amazing well. I don’t remember one big turning point that was a clear miss on these daily time frames.

I did get a little confused with the move after this one, which I did mention last week, but that did not change the direction or call of this current move. The sentiment numbers are very close to a large buy signal. The market can pull back into the S&P 1080 area and should hold somewhere in there, but if it breaks 1040 that is going to produce selling of great proportion. So, may be I should not project that far out and just focus now on the next move, which would be a move back down to the area mentioned 1080.

I would not be surprised to see a big reversal of this move up here on Mondays session. I have checked the individual Dow charts and it does look like there is resistance overhead at least for the short run. It could run up to the higher end of the range 1142 but we will just have to wait and see.  My only point right now is be on the look out for a reversal today or tomorrow back down. We should get one producing a large retracement back. I will keep you undated on what I think going forward.

Video of the small trading range on Friday’s S&P futures

Reduce Stress Associated with Trading Gains & Losses, Part 2

Saturday, May 22nd, 2010

This post is for Fridays market May 21st where the selling continued, but reversed at days end to close much higher.

The selling continued in the night trading Thursday evening and carried over into Fridays session where it started to pick up steam to the downside.  Buyers did come in before it got out of hand and salvaged the day for the bulls.

My last post I put up a single screen shot showing the support that was coming in from a couple of angles. That support if broken on a closing basis with conviction will likely kick in the next wave of selling to the area’s marked on the screen, 864 is the lower number. I do not rule out the possibility that it will keep going at some point, but one thing at a time. There will have to be some economic or world crisis to trip it into gear, but its to much to think about right now.

In my trading Friday I had a great day hitting another one of those mega days. I have a screen shot of my last trades of the day here. In this shot, I have only a striped down view of my screen only showing one chart of my main screen with only one indicator below.

By following the complete trading method, the timing of the buy and sell signals are really generated by something completely different, but the indicators do line up with trading method.  By learning how I trade, you will know why and when to go long or short, not only because an indicator says so. I use different models with different time frames for each model depending on the trading movement. With just a hint of a trending market, I will and can trade out out my T-2 screen of which I have a tiny portion shown above. If in a choppy market my T-1 screen works like a charm. You still need to know how to handle yourself on the board. You can have the best tools and still mess it up, if you act irrationally and become overly emotional.

One more point that I have been wanting to show for some time now, is how my trading method will work with stock trading. The only thing that you need in any trading instrument is movement. If it moves, it will work. It works in any time frame, as well as with tick charts,volume charts, range charts, minute charts, hourly charts, daily charts, weekly and monthly charts. There, I covered all of them. Not all traders are alike and each trader needs to find what time frame is best for there personality. For the trader who feels good about holding a position for several hours and even days at a time, may not be best suited for scalp trading where you may be in the move for only minutes. I have tried them all over the years and it took me a long time to find where I am best suited and that is scalp trading with my own version of trend trading tied to it.

The video below is on a stock, symbol FAZ in a 150 tick chart. This is fast especially on the open where the market gaps higher by a lot. You can always slow it down by just increasing the time frame to say 250 tick chart or higher.  It is a financial bear index and works in the opposite direction as the general market. This stock tracks the financial and banking stocks but will go up as the financial stocks go down. As a day trader, it really does not matter, as long as it moves and this one sure does. The point is, I am just showing one timing tool tied to this and how if you knew the complete trading method, you would be certainly be able to get in at or near these turning points and have a very small stop, .10 to .15 cents.

Continuing with Thursdays lesson: “Reduce Stress Associated with Trading Gains & Losses”

Continuing where I left off, I discussed reducing stress associated with trading gains and gave a few idea’s on how to bring that about. Most traders struggle with this one, “the losses”. There is usually an increased amount of stress as losses start to mount. To often, traders are thinking about the money and not trading there plan and trading method.

Try not to think about the money. I know that is easier said than done, but if you resolve in your mind the worst thing that is going to happen to me today is a loss of 3 S&P points and if you are trading stocks, say 30 cents. If you are trading one contract on the S&P’s, that is a $150 dollar total loss for the day and with stocks, trading 500 shares -.30 cents you are looking at about the same, -$150 dollars.  The idea is, you are not planing on losing for the day, but the stress associated with trading loses only add to the pressure you are under, so focus on following your plan of action. Expect and see yourself doing the right thing as called for and see the trade moving in your favor just after you enter. Don’t wish it or hope it moves, but let the stock do all the work. You are not going to help it along with your added emotions.

Ever heard the adage, less is more and more is less. That would apply here. Day trading is a mind strategy that gets played out on your trading screen. Do the right thing at the right time and you won’t have to try and help it along. It will  already know where to go, right to your target area or running as though it were in a marathon. Go along for the ride as a passenger but be sure you get off before it stops and goes the other way.

You will be reducing stress if you can accept your daily loss limit for which you should have. A maximum amount you will risk in any one trading day, (mine is 4 S&P points).  Then, don’t think or worry about the money and just trade with the rhythm of the market and let it tell you if you should be long or short.

Your feedback and comments are welcomed and appreciated. Enjoy the rest of the weekend, Vince.

Beginner’s Info

Thursday, February 25th, 2010

Before you start trading, it is very important that you know what it is that you are doing and what you are trading. It is similar to trading stocks but at the same time, very different. There is a definition of terms for those who need to know the basic language in the glossary.

We are trading the S&P 500 E-Mini Futures contract. This represents a shadow or a mirror of movement in the S&P 500 cash index. Traders and institutions across the globe buy and sell contracts with each other. For many, it is a hedge against a portfolio they own and sell contracts equal to the value of their portfolio as a form of insurance. Pension funds and large institutions do the same as well as mutual fund managers.

They are buying and selling protection in the form of contracts against the Index. To do this they need a very liquid pool of futures contracts to draw from and that is where the trader comes into the picture. He or she may not want to hedge their portfolio, but may want to speculate on the future direction of the market. Traders are an essential ingredient to offer the liquidity that the institutions need to quickly move into and out of the market.

I once heard a man ask a trader what he does for a living and his answer was, “I am an asset liquidity provider, how about you”. That statement is true. That is what we do.

Each contract traded represents 50 times the current value of the index. Lets say that the Index is 1000, a nice round number. Multiply 1000 x 50 = $ 50,000 and that is the value of one contract. If the index was trading at 1100 the value of the contract would be $ 55,000. You need to put up a deposit for the right to buy and hold a contract. If you hold the position over night, you will need about $ 5,000 deposit. If you close the position at the end of the trading session the margin will go down to about $ 1,250 for one contract.(day trade margin)

At Sniper Day Trading, we trade for a modest daily goal most days, between 2-4 points. The S&P 500 emini futures trades in ticks. There are 4 ticks that make up one point. Each tick is $12.50 and since there is 4 ticks to a point, one point is $50, 4 x $12.50= $50. If our daily goal is capture 2-4 points we are trading for $100-$200 dollars per contract traded. With an opening balance of $5,000 you could conceivably buy or sell 4 contract. So to use the example above, 4 contracts traded x 100 to 200 each contract, you would be making $400-800 per day.

We don’t recommend that traders start trading the maximum, but start at the smallest and work your way up. It is possible, averaging 2 points per day that in 4 weeks you could be trading at 4 contracts and bringing in the kind of money above. You can stay at that level or increase it over time. What ever you feel comfortable with. You may decide to go slower and reach that level in 2 or 3 months and that is OK. The main thing is averaging that 2 points per day over an extended period. It is very possible, people are doing that and more all over the country and you could to.

On the main page we talk a lot about discipline, patients, and focus, all essential things for reaching your goals. But first you need to know how to trade. I offer that in my course and if you decide to become part of the family, I will see to it that you understand my trading method and how to apply it.

When we put on a trade, we teach how to enter at just the right moment as the momentum will carry you higher or lower which ever way to you are trading.

Make Money as prices go up or down

Which brings me to my next point. You can make money in either direction, up or down. Often, prices go down a lot faster that they do going up. The principal works the same. When you put on a trade that is going up, we would call that a LONG TRADE and when you put on a trade that is going down, we call that a SHORT TRADE. We teach how to take these trades in a clear concise way. No gray area.

When we take a Long Trade, we Buy to Open / Sell to Close

When we take a Short Trade, we Sell to Open / Buy to Close

There is always someone on the other side of the trade to take the position, the price is the only thing that changes. If you sold the futures or “Shorted” the market at the S&P price of 1091 and you covered the trade by buying it back at a lower price at 1088, you just made a 3 point profit of $50 X 3 points = $ 150 dollars per contract traded.

Remember that each tick is broken up in quarters and 4 quarters make up 1 point. You can think of it like 4 quarters make a dollar, but in this case, it makes $50, because each tick is worth $12.50.

Commission cost for the transaction varies on the broker but the typical costs is about $2.00 to buy one contract and $2 to sell one contract. The complete transaction is called “round-turn”, buying, then selling.

TIME CHARTS

When building our charts on the screen, we use tick data. Tick data is different than time data. Trading in a one minute bar chart is the smallest increment of time that you can use. When using TICK CHARTS, you can create a much more detailed view of the trading history. It is through this trading history that we are able to draw up our entries in this much more detailed view. It allows us to enter at the exact point, Sniper Style, to hit our mark. Get in, Get out, Get done.

We teach precise entry and exit points using these tick charts and with the ongoing training you will always see the method applied to current data.

Above, is an example of a Candle Stick Chart. These are typical setups for us, as you can see the entries short and then long. The first trade was good for 1 to 2 points and the second good for the same or higher.

I usually follow bar charts that have an open, high, low and close to them, as shown above. Some people like using candle stick charts and that is a matter of preference. Candle charts have a wider body and make it a little easier to see the open, high, low and close, but using tick charts, often we need the screen room to see the complete patterns developing as well as one feature that I use to help visually see the change in direction. Often, this change in direction matches the other components of the method which helps to confirm our entry, LONG or SHORT.

Different Types of Orders

There are three main types of orders used in our style of trading. There are “Market Orders”, “Limit Orders” and “Stop Orders”. I use all three of them at different times for different reasons and explain it all in my course and mentoring program.

A market order, in our style of trading is typically used to close positions that are still open. Others may use them to start a position but we don’t often do that. It better serves us to use this order when we have an open position close to our stop loss and decide it is better to close the position and the protective stop at once. Both done with one click of the mouse at the same time.

A “Limit Order”, is an order to buy or sell at the specific price that we specify. See the example below. There is a blue column, the “Bid Size” and red column, the “Ask Size” This is where I place my orders. By clicking inside the blue column, price 1091.50, I am willing to buy at that price only. When contracts become available from the other side, the red column, my order is filled and I will have gone “Long the S&P emini futures market”. The opposite is true for “Selling Short”. This is an example of buying or selling with a “Limit Order”.

The last order type, “Stop Orders”, are usually used to protect a trader from incurring a greater loss than what he has predetermined ahead of time. For me, it is 1 point or less on all trades I put on. ($50 dollars per contract traded or less). That is the maximum loss and is set automatically at the time I click the order to buy. No need to do anything else. You can set predefined limit order targets and they can go up at the same time as your order entry as well. One click of the mouse and the rest of the entire process is complete. You can even stagger your “Limit Order Targets” if you trade more than one contract, say 1 point and 2 points. If the first one gets hit and filled, your stop loss will automatically adjust itself to only protect now the remaining half of your open position. Nothing else needs to be done, but just the one click order entry, period.

This is a very nice feature for those who may lack discipline in placing their stops and targets when and where they should after they enter the market. You can even use the one click feature just explained and use a “Trailing Stop Loss”. This will automatically move your protective Stop Loss up with say a rising market. You can set a trigger point, say its one point. When you reach that one point level you sell half your first position, every tick the market rises from there, your stop will rise by that much, keeping a 4 tick stop position. If the market had moved up 3 points quickly and came back 1 point, you would automatically sell your remaining position at 2 points, locking in your profit. This is because you preprogrammed it to do just that. This again is a great way to capture more profit in a fast moving market all automatically. The only thing that starts the process is just the one click of the mouse. Done. Very Cool. I, most often do it manually, but that is me. I can show you how to set this upin a blink of an eye and teach you to effectively use this feature.

Different Types Of Trading

There are different types of trading. The three most common, “Day Trading”, “Swing Trading” and “Position Trading”. Day Trading is what we do, because we never hold any position over night and make a few trades inside the daily session. Swing Trading, will carry positions over-night and hold those positions for several days. Position Trading, will hold similar trades but for several weeks or months.

Inside of Day Trading, there are several approaches as well. We look at three main tick charts, separated by small, medium and large time frames. Depending on the traders preference, if he or she has one, we can tailor our program to match your current trading style, or mirror what I am using for my trading. In our first meeting together, I will be able to help you discover what is the best time frame for you to start with. Naturally, I will show you how I set up my charts and fully explain the way that I trade. After that, we can go from there.

Scalp Trading

Scalp Trading, is often misunderstood. There is really no set definition that will clearly define it. It may mean one thing to someone and something else to another. That said, what I most often do is Scalp Trade the S&P 500 futures emini market. You can trade other markets like the Russell, the NASDAQ, or the Dow Jones. Each has an emini futures market that is liquid and very trade-able.

When the trading range is very narrow, scalping 2, 3 or 4 ticks, may be all the market safely gives you, without waiting around hours for a good trade setup. This is how I would define Scalp Trading.

With our base daily goal of 2 points or 8 ticks, you only really need say, 1 trade for 1 point and two trades for 3 ticks and that would also cover commissions and you are done for the day.

The setups are the same in the smallest time frame, as compared to the highest time frame, because the market is “Fractal” in nature. That means the same patterns and setups occur in all time frames across the board, showing a trading symmetry that is often seen in nature, below is an example of that.

With my trading approach, we are able to capture what the market is giving us. If the trading range is expanding and large swings are showing up, we can capture those moves for multiple point returns.

Scalp Trading, gives you the ability to save time in your trading, by getting in getting out and getting done with it and on to other things. I don’t trade all day, like many do. This style of trading offers the “Time Freedom” that many covet. Having the Trading Discipline to walk away after hitting our Day Trading Goal is key in keeping the struggle to a minimum.

Getting what you need from the market, is like shopping for fresh meat and produce at your local supermarket. If you try to stock up on too much, it will go bad and you will lose it all. I find the same true in trading, getting what you need for today is a better approach and produces trading discipline, controls greed and keeps the traders struggle manageable. It is a lot easier to get 2-4 point in a day verses 8-10 points in a day. When you are not able to reach this high trading goal, it will produce frustration and feelings of failure can creep in, derailing all of your efforts.

Controlling Fear and Greed

Many traders just starting out, soon discover that they have almost what seems like uncontrollable trading emotions. They find it difficult to stay focused and maintain control. Often, traders find themselves trading with their minds to focused on the money. That is a sure-fire way to slow your progress and often ruin it entirely.

Most traders have gone through this, but most don’t know how to break the bonds of these powerful emotions, Fear and Greed while Day Trading. The good news is, I do know and is very much apart of the Sniper Trading approach. These are things that I uncover and address to my students and take this part very seriously. Starting out, many are not even aware of these dangers, but that is my job to prepare you for any unforeseen problems that can come between you and your modest daily trading goal each day.

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Trading with Time, Tick, Volume or Range Charts, which is better!

Monday, February 8th, 2010

Today is Sunday February 7th and as mentioned in yesterday’s post,  I will discuss the differences of time charts vs tick charts and a couple of other kinds of charts most people are not even aware of, volume charts and range charts.

Time charts are what most traders are used to using, although tick charts have gained in popularity in recent years. Day Traders mostly use time charts and I would have to say the 80-20 rule here would apply. I can’t back that up with any stats, but that is what I believe it is.

Recently back in October last year, the (CME) Chicago mercantile Exchange, changed the way that they report tick data. It has caused a lot of confusion for traders as many did not know of the change and just started seeing the bar activity increasing on the chart. Depending on the trading method that they use, it could have caused problems. It could be hard to identify what you are looking for with all the activity on the screen. I am sure it even caused many to go back to time based charts.

I noticed it right away and took action to recreate the data after a little research. What ever the tick count you used to use, you should multiple that by 2.3 times the original is our best estimate to get things back to what it was before the change. I realize that this is old news, but I have more to say on the matter, so hang in there.

The other difference is that when the volume really picks up, like on Friday, where we had around 4 million contracts traded, you have to do some adjusting. The charts will be moving a lot faster than you are used to and that is the main reason I am talking about the subject. In November and December, we were barely hitting 1.5 million contracts per day. Friday was the highest that I have seen in a long time. The reversal probably had something to do with it. So the point is, don’t be afraid to adjust your chart settings to compensate, but do it proportionately to any of the higher time frame charts that are using.

The benefits of using Tick charts still out weigh any negatives. Tick charts give you a much more detailed view of the days price action and allows you to narrow down your entry price much better.

Let me give two other kinds of day trading charts that have gotten much more popular recently. In fact, some think this is  the new thing, giving some the edge and that is the use of Range Charts and Volume charts. Some people do not know a thing about it and that is another reason for the post. I am still researching it for myself, but I looked at the two kinds of charts and I would have to say, I do like them. Volume charts are very similar to tick charts, but the bars are placed by volume, just like the description says.

In my brief analysis of the two, a 10,000 contract chart is equal to about 2100 tick chart, about 5 times greater. That would suggest that the average trade on the S&P eminis is 5 contracts per trade or tick. The contract chart is going to add up all the volume based on total contracts bought and sold and the tick charts are going to count the actual trades that have gone off and when 2100 is reached, it will post a bar. I have noticed slight differences, like more big volume from large institutional traders at certain area’s and less bars posted at reversal tops, suggesting that the small traders are getting sucked in before the reversal. It is not a very large difference, but I can see it. Prices are posted the same as far as that goes.

The last type of data  charts is called, Range Charts and this is what I hear is the next big thing. I did look at these, but I have yet to make a conclusion. The basic idea is, if you put as an input say 6 tick range on the S&P. A bar will post when the range is 6 ticks from high to low and not before. It does not matter how long it takes, but when that condition is met, a bar is posted. The movement is calculated and then plotted. Trade Station is what I use and they have this in their platform. I am not sure about other vendors, but if it interests you, I am sure you can find out.

Now you know the different types of charts that are available. . If their is interest, I can help those who have more questions in this area. I can help give you the corresponding tick chart settings to match the time charts you are using and if you have any other trading questions I would happy to answer them too, so please feel free to ask.

Below is a 500 tick chart of the S&P 500 eminis and a 1 minute chart.

Good Trading, Vince

DAY TRADING LESSON TODAY, understanding time/tick charts!

Monday, November 23rd, 2009

Todays post is for Friday’s session, November 20th and the sell off slowed a bit, but still ended down slightly for the session. I did not trade today, traveling out-of-town and may wait until next week? We will see.

The momentum has swung to the downside, going into Thanksgiving week, where we typically see market strength. It will be interesting to see how the market handles this dichotomy. A word of caution, the volume is going to slow this week. It should be a little busy early on, say the first hour, but after that it will probably slow substantially. Each day will get slower until Wednesday’s close. Just from memory, the session during Thanksgiving week Wednesday, is usually a half day. Everyone should find out what the hours are for the week. Fridays session is usually normal hours, but you should look for yourself. If I have time tomorrow, I will look it up and post it for tomorrows session.

One more thing I will say, before I go to the next section is, the market sentiment did get more bullish by a few % and the bearishness dropped. Only 20% of professional stock market newsletter writers are bearish, that is not very many and does pose a problem for the bulls to continue higher. It had been at these lower levels but it dropped by over 5 % this week and is the lowest in recent memory. Only one in five believe the market is going to go down. Sounds like a minority position to me. All I advise is caution, be careful, keep stops on all of your long-term stock positions. You just never know what can happen with this market. Take is a day at a time. Currently the short-term momentum is down.

TRADING LESSON TODAY !

Today I will continue with a topic I touched on last week. Each day is usually different as far as price movements are concerned and the person who can feel the pulse of the market can get an edge on trading it.

Each day, the market expresses itself in different ways, those expressions come out exhibiting the struggles between both sides of the market, bullish or bearish. Usually one side will have the upper hand and prices will end the day in that direction. Along the way, the struggle will be shown when one looks into the micro moves of the market.

I feel, the best way to do this is by using tick data. Tick data is far different from using time data. With time data, the charts reveal the price movements, high, low and close for that specific amount of time. Many traders use 5 minute bar charts to trade the S&P. Far more traders use time charts over tick data. If I had to guess I would say at best it would be 80/20 but it may be more like 90/10. 

If you day trade the E-Mini markets, you may want to look into using this type of data. It is different and it may take some getting used to, but it offers much more advantages than disadvantages in my opinion. If you are looking to limit your exposure and risk, tick data, if used properly can do that for you.

You will get a much better look and feel for where you get in and out of the market. As volume increases, the bars will post more often and reflect the quicker pace of the market action. With more detail and information, you have the ability to make a more informed trading decision, thus putting the odds in effect, more in your favor.

As mentioned, you have the ability to limit your risk by identifying more defined pivot points, which in a way, could be classified as decision points. This does give you an advantage by identifying where the tipping points could come in at. Not every pivot point is a decision point and you have to understand a lot more than this, but it is a start.

If you go back over some of your previous trades and look to where you placed your stops for some of those entries, you will find that you are probably in good company. I would bet that most of those stops had a significant amount of movement in the direction of your stop. The reason for that is most people place there stops in the same places and they don’t even realize that they are doing it. In some way, they know the exact spot they will through in the towel to get out along with everyone else, which causes the price to move substantially in that direction.

What if you reverse the process and do not yet place an order and look, think and ask yourself, if I was in this trade, where would I place my stop to get out?  That is probably the place for you to establish an initial position and ride the wave of everyone elses stop orders going off. 

Again, this is one way to help understand how price action works and how you can take advantage of it. Don’t fight it, go with it and everyone else. There loss is your gain. That is why and how, I am able to risk only 3 or 4 ticks on a trade and still have the odds about 80% on my side that the trade will produce some profit for me.

That is why and how I came up with the term, “SNIPER-DAY-TRADING”. If I can limit my risk to a very small amount and get the momentum on my side, so that the current natural rhythm of the market is to go in my direction, by stop orders and current position orders going off in my favor, that is all I can ask for.

Keeping the struggle down to a bare minimum, is what I enjoy. I don’t like fighting the market and if I lose the edge, I get out, immediately until a new edge presents itself to me.

I feel, this is hard to accomplish if not impossible with minute charts. So that is why I have built my trading models around this type of analysis. You may want to explore it further on your own to see if you can find or get the edge.

Good Trading, Vince !

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