Posts Tagged ‘S&P 1140’

Market Consolidates for another chance at S&P 1140

Thursday, August 5th, 2010

Today is Thursday, August 5th and the S&P was basically flat today with a .75 point loss, consolidating to better get to the short term target area of 1140 area.

This may not be the ultimate resting area for the S&P, 1140 but it is an important milestone on the way. Only time will tell, what lies in store for the S&P, but I still think there is more room for surprises here. Currently we are at 1123.75 as of today’s close and will still be looking for 1140 very soon. I would have like to have seen it today, but the market has its own timetable not mine.

I looked at directional changes late last night after driving 5 hours from the S.F. Bay Area and may have been a little premature on my target call of 1140 on the S&P sometime during today’s session. I think we have a better chance to get there for Fridays session, as we marked another day sideways, which will allow a better clearer path on up.

I can only see an upside resolve to the bearish bias of this current market. I want to be a bear, but I just can not at this time. This is the kind of flexibility one needs to ultimately be successful in the financial markets. One can not impose there overall directional bias onto the financial markets.  I am not that stubborn to admit I am wrong when it is so. Yesterday, the market was pulling back in the night trading, but still saw, the path of least of resistance as being up to the target of 1140. It did not happen in today’s market, but still hold out for the possibility of it hitting that in Fridays session. That would be about a move of 165 points on the Dow, to get to that equivalent level.

Time will tell, but if we yet still go sideways in Fridays market, it will still increase the chance for not only 1140 being hit, but higher prices yet. One thing at a time, and lets see how Fridays action panes out.

It did not matter much to me, by the early morning open, I could see that we did not get the upside break out I was looking for and managed to push higher on the open, but from lower premarket levels. The market clawed its way back up, to put in a nice daily reversal and closed in at the high of the day, a very positive sign for tomorrow market. The market had excess and I guess it had to work it off by shedding a few points, only to come back to it’s original spot of the day.

As mentioned, time will tell. In today’s trading, I did good and hit my daily goal with a solid posting of a few nice small trades. I did not trade large size, but it added up just the same. The screen shot below, will show how and where I entered this market to get my daily goal.

Very slow trading this week, as the market has surely tested the patients of many traders me included. We saw only very light volume but that which is very typical for this time of year. More and more traders are hitting the market early for a few points and getting out of Dodge for the day. I can see it clearly in the tape.

This might be a good clue for the rest of the month. It won’t be a bad strategy to make a few and leave for the remaining weeks of the month, but every traders will have to decide that for themselves.

As mentioned, my trades below. I hope everyone is enjoying there summer by getting outside and doing something fun. When summer is over, its over, so take heed of the opportunity while you have it. The market will still be here when you get back.

Good Trading to all, Vince

Market ready to move again

Wednesday, August 4th, 2010

Today is Wednesday and we saw moderate gains again for the S&P (+6 points) and Dow Jones (+44).

The last two days the market has marked time by moving sideways for the most part. During this quiet time there has been a lot going on, even if it does not look like it. This quite time is just what needs to happen.

When you sit down for dinner, you eat, enjoy and wait to let you food settle. Well, the market has been settling it’s meal and I think it is hungry again, or that is what it looks like to me. I think we are ready to see new advances for the Thursdays session. This will be keeping with the spirit of surprise and amazement as this market just seems to not want to quit, or that is what they should be saying soon.

We should rally on Thursday, or at least that is what and how I see it. I could be wrong, but I see S&P at 1140 somewhere in Thursdays session. Currently in the aftermarket the market is going the other way. Here is a case where I believe we will see the market come back and sometime during the early morning session, we should be pushing into new high ground. That call would be the normal and natural move for this market Will we come back up several points to reverse and go higher into the morning session, time will tell. I could be w
rong, so don’t go out on a limb here on my say-so. I have been right so many times in the most recent past and will get a better idea by tomorrow mornings open, but I may not be up at that time to really comment.

I am just getting back home from a short trip to the S.F. Bay Area. It is about 310 miles one way to where I usually stay with family when I travel that way. It takes around 5 hours with most of the way traveling at 70 mph. Currently its 12:30 a.m. on now Thursday morning, so again, I don’t see myself hitting the morning session tomorrow. In addition, my wife has family visiting, to help us celebrate my 48 birthday on Saturday, not that its a big deal, but what the heck, why not.  Sorry there, I got off a tangent, I must be a little delirious from all the driving.

I did not get a chance to trade yesterday, but I did squeeze in an hour or so of trading today making some very modest gains. I have a screen shot below of all the trades I took today.

I cant’ say to much more, so I will end it. If day trading, be nimble and don’t get to strong on any one direction. The market can do what ever it wants. Just read the action and go with it. Trade timing is key, so trade with the rhythm of the market if you can find it.   Good Trading, Vince