Posts Tagged ‘reaction rally’

Stock Market Pressure is building on both sides !

Monday, November 22nd, 2010

Just a short post here today Monday November 22nd.  The market made a terrific come back from the early selling after the open. The gap was again closed today just before the close of the session to the tick and the market closed the day strong and at the top of its daily range.

Their are still open gaps from three days ago that are still not closed, which is at S&P 1178. The 1180 area on a closing basis is still valid as far as key major support for the uptrend.

We now have three days of market pressure built up at the S&P 1200 area and that is significant. I had mentioned a few days back that 1200 area was key resistance and with the market stalling there for three days, that seems to have been validated. The market did back fill some important levels today which it had to do if it was going to make a case for a move back up, like in tomorrow session. It will have to clear the 1200 area which was again defined in today’s session.

A close above 1200 will be bullish for the market short term, maybe to a double top, but I don’t see a prolong rally in the face of so much optimism. That strong sentiment can linger for a while, but usually it builds stronger if a reaction move has not happened within a few days. So, being that this is Thanksgiving week, typically a bullish week for the market, we could be on the look out for strength above 1200. The old high was exactly where I had called the top and so far that is around S&P futures 1220

In yesterdays blog, I posted that 1193 was going to be some key support and should see some selling if broken. The major support is at 1180, but the 1193 area was going to produce a reaction and it happened perfectly today. The market broke that number and went lower, had a small pull back up and proceeded lower moves down to 1182,  just two points from the next level of support called, 1180.  So those were good numbers in my book and it was nice to see the market react as it did.

Currently at 11 pm Monday evening, the night session has taken the market down off of today’s comeback. The opening bell should show some good volume to it as it did today, but be wary if things slow up later on in the session. We need market volume and movement to make up a good market. Its hard to make money is a slow market, so try and trade with volume. I would do well to take that advise myself. Us West Coast traders have it a little harder than the East, but when their is a will their is a way.  I am still working on the will.

Good Trading to all and trade safe, Happy Thanks Giving  in advance,  Vince    P.S.   no trading for me with week.

Looking for Support in the Index’s

Thursday, June 24th, 2010

Today is Thursday June 24th and the market continued to pull back continuing its losses coming off the recent run up.

We did continue pulling back and would say that if we were going to take a stand, tomorrow should be it. The sell-off should slow down and we should try and mount a reaction rally to this move down. The important move is going to be after that. We will have created a pivot and a new line in the sand if we get a rally from here. That will tell the story. If it holds, we will go up quickly to possibly even test the old high. If it does not we will see a test of the lows or at least a move to the 1040-1050 area.  The 1040 area needs to hold at all cost. I wrote about that last week and that is key very important support. A break of that level will usher in a massive about of selling.

Before we get to far ahead, which I need to remember not to do, lets just take it one step at a time. The next move looks like a rally up over the next few days. We could see early selling and reaction rally later in the session. The market did close on the lows of the day and is usually a sign of opening weakness although the night futures are currently up. That does not mean to much and think the market will hold or contain the selling and end the day up.

It is the likely spot for the market to make a stand, even if it is going to fail days latter. That will be apart of the next move and I don’t want to get ahead of myself. Look for prices to hold on Fridays session. That is what I will be looking for. If we sell off fiercely, I will be objective and you should too. Do not ever insist on your will over the markets. Keep an open mind, because we can all be wrong at any given moment. Just look for the easy and obvious trades.

That is what we do, look at the daily, to give us an idea of how the day could end up, on the highs of the day or the lows of the day, but always follow the price action, not what you think.

Today I did take a few trades and don’t have time to mark up screen like I often do, so an equity chart today. Still traveling in the Bay Area and hope to home bound tomorrow afternoon.

I promise to write a good educational trading article for the weekend so check back for that over the weekend for sure.

Good Trading and be safe.