Today is Monday November 8th, 2010 and we saw a slow narrow range today as the S&P and Dow backed off their most recent new high ground with the Dow off -37 and the S&P -2 for the day.
We saw a slow narrow range today as the market gaped lower to start things off. We did see another gap filled today, but it took most of the session to get it done. As you can see over the last few weeks, most all the gaps have been filled within the same day or by the open of the next session.
We do have a large gap that is still open from a previous session and would be a good idea to remember where it is and when it happened. It happened 3 sessions ago at 1198 and as mentioned is still open.
I would be watching 1215 for Tuesdays session as an important area of interest. If that area gives way, it is possible the market will work its way back down to fill that gap. Currently in the night session the market is off several points and sitting just above that number, by about one point, so we shall see what happens in the morning.
One interesting thing to note is the Dow never came close to filling its opening gap even though the S&P did. That too is important to know and remember going forward.
In yesterdays blog, I was talking about how important it is to understand how a certain elements work together to give a trader the statistical trading edge. The elements are “time, space and energy”. Space would amount to the movement of price, since its travels are done in an element of space. Understanding all of these elements are important. Some do have a higher value than others, but all are essential.
The element of time is the first one, which traders are required to wait. That waiting is a component of time and essential for the price to work its way into position for its next move. Without time, space (price movement) would not exist and so is needed. It is in passing of time that allows traders to establish there positions and creates price movement, the second element. There is a right time and a wrong time to enter a position. You want to learn when to enter at the “tipping point”. An exact point of time that prices move in your favor with little draw down. That is not always easy to do but it is possible. Enter to soon and you incur additional risk and potential for loss. Enter to late, when the move is now seen by all and you risk being the answer to someones exit, by taking the other side along with everyone else. It can be summed up in two words, “Trade Timing”.
The second element is space, where prices move. Price moves through definable boundaries created by its participants. Those boundaries take place over time and are often well established. If you can spot the trade boundaries and allow time to work for you, you will begin to possess the trading advantage. So, you are allowing time to pass so that price can establish trade boundaries that are definable to you, the trader. So far we have the first two elements working together to create and give you that trading advantage, time and space.
That brings us to the last element, trade energy. This element is not often thought of, but is key in working with the first two. The energy is essential to the move in that, it is what drives the price higher and or lower. That happens at a specific time as discussed, but the energy is what moves the price through space, the second element. All three are working together. As time passes, energy is often building, depending on the definable boundaries discussed above. The way that happens is again first by the passing of time as traders establish positions above and below boundaries that they feel is important to them. When you can identify which area’s are of greatest importance to the largest group of traders, you will often be able spot “stored energy”. It is just sitting there. Here again, you will need the passing of time to allow that stored energy to build.
Generally the bulk of traders and investors think alike. Thinking as they do to better spot where there stops and being prepared to do the opposite can be one way see these area’s. Price establishes itself through space by creating highs and lows. Each high and low says something as pivot points are created. Its understanding this language and the combination of all three elements that creates the trading advantage we seek.
Sniper Day Trading seeks to exploit those three elements to put the statistical trading advantage on my side of aisle. When I can do that, I pick up winning trades. We don’t need a lot as we all know the futures market is highly leverage. The key is better to keep risk low and gains consistent, even if those gains are at times small.
There are key spots on a trade screen that represent small windows of opportunities. If we hit these windows of opportunity right, we keep risk low and have a high degree of success in hitting at least a modest target. We come to learn what price should do at these small windows and when it doesn’t do as it should, getting out does not have to be letting your stop get taken out. Managing the trade is very important, but doing the first part right, this part is much easier as you will be looking to take your profits and not running for cover.
All of this takes time and an understanding of how price action works in conjunction with the elements discussed. Trade indicators are only a reflection of the three trade elements discussed above. They can help you see what is on the screen already, but are not able to identify, because of lack of knowledge and screen time. This is something that can and needs to be learned, so don’t be down or hard on yourself if you are not make the progress you hoped for. More tomorrow……. Today’s trades below.


