Posts Tagged ‘method setup’

Trading Indicators – Part one

Monday, March 15th, 2010

Today is Monday March 15th and the market pulled up in the last hour for a nice come back.

The S&P 500 futures rallied 10 points off the low of the day and closed basically flat on the session. That was a nice move and I am sure took the bears by surprise. It was a steady climb, which was backed up by a lot of short covering.

Tomorrow is the F.O.M.C meeting, which stands for federal open market committee, “the Fed”. They are going to make an announcement on interest rates tomorrow and that may be what the market is waiting for. The Index’s did not want to give up any ground until they know the outcome of tomorrows meeting. New positions will be placed and we should see a significant amount of volume just before 11:15 and certainly at and after 11:15 tomorrow.

I word of caution, be careful around these announcements, the price swings can get pretty wild. I would not take any trades 15 minutes before and 15 minutes after these announcements for sure. The volume will be OK in the very early morning, for say the first 60 to 90 minutes, but after that, it is going to grind to a snails pace, it always does, until after the fed announcement.

Today I took a few more trades than I usually do, but it all turned out pretty good. Only a few ticks of loss and plenty of gains to more than reach my daily goal. A chart below to show you the trades.

I have one trading indicator above the screen and one below the screen. I don’t explain what they are or much about them, other than that it helps to identify the momentum swings through out the day. This is in my “Scalp Trading Screen” T-1, which is different than my second trading screen. The first one, T-1 is set up to scalp 2,3,4 ticks at a minimum and often times 2 or 3 points from the trade and is what is shown below, although I have pulled other things out of the chart, you are seeing a striped down version, but one that can make sense.   Today’s trades are not earth shattering, they are just small scalp trades except one trade for 3 points. I did see the potential for a runner late in the day and could have easily sold most of my position at a point or so as I did, but elect to hold one contract back to let run. I decided not to and just closed it up. Tomorrow will present itself with new setups and opportunities.

I will show a screen shot of my T-2 screen with something similar for tomorrows session. The settings are different for this trade screen.  It is used for when we I see a trending market or the possibilities. It does not have to be trending all day, but an early morning move or any things in-between that has legs to it, (more than one move back to back) will work just fine. These move are generally for several points and usually start out at what I call my “Turning Points”.

Many traders follow indicators and for good reason. But trading indicators are a reflection of the price. Don’t lose sight of that. Traders need to be able to see and read good bull setups and good bearish setups. Many have a problem seeing the bearish setups. It just does not seem natural to sell something that you don’t have. In addition, it is more difficult to just see the patterns. Our brains do not make it easy to spot these setups at times, but the trading patterns are there and you can usually make more $ when prices go down. Sell-offs tend to move bigger and faster than a rising market, its just that way. So, if you have a constant bullish bent, try little by little to look at things in reverse as you interpret the price action.

There are two sides to every market and the traders we are trading against constantly work there influence to blind as many as they can to this fact, giving themselves the advantage.  This is one area where trading indicators can help. They can help you see what is already on the trading screen, but your eyes are not yet trained well enough to see it with confidence. You first need to know what you are looking for, the trading indicators will basically highlight those area’s of interest. Your job at that point is to see if that area it is highlighting constitutes as a method setup. If it does not, just let it go. Resist the temptation to take the trade anyway for fear of loss, as in opportunity. This happens every day and is a big problem for many traders. I have to remind myself of this fact as well. If you miss the bus, another one is coming in just a few minutes. The problem is, we don’t want to wait.

Do you remember back in the day, when you had to take the bus, well, for many it could be a long time ago, but the point is, we don’t like to wait. It is what our culture has grown accustom to and often stands as one of the reasons that many traders do not make it.

This is one reason why I have tailored my trading program “Sniper Day Trading” in such a way as I have. It is designed to provide enough trades in a fairly short amount of time to reach a preset daily goal 2 to 4 S&P points. That is $100 to $200 per contract traded. Trading a modest 3 contracts is $300 to $600 per day, while trading 5 contracts is $500 to $1,000 per day.

Day trading has its rewards, it may seem simple, but it is rarely easy. Having the right day trading indicators can help, but every trader should  ask the question, “why is the indicator giving a buy or sell, then and only then will we know,   what to do & when.

Trading Discipline, Part 4

Friday, April 17th, 2009

Today is Thursday April 16th, and I have a valuable trading lesson below.

I started my day on the wrong foot, that was for sure. I know the potential always exists to mess up a bit, but I also know that I have enough discipline to stop trading if I am having a bad day. We all need to know at what point you will stop trading for the day if you hit your daily loss limit.

This is a discipline question that needs to be known before you start the trading session. I always know what that point is and I feel other traders in the business should also, but everyone trades differently and there are almost no two styles alike. You may mirror yourself after a successful trader and that can work well, but you will eventually need to OWN IT for long term success to take hold.

This would be whatever you learn that seems to work and slowly adopt it as your own, because everyone will see things at least a little differently. The bottom line is, did you follow the “base method setups” to get your points. If you did, then your results are duplicatable for future profits and that is what we want – daily positive results.

Today, I came up to my daily loss limit, which for me is always two times my minimum daily goal. My daily goal has been one thousand dollars, so my maximum loss for the day can be no larger than two thousand dollars. My first couple of trades were small, then went to double positions. If I click 5 contracts twice, that is a double position, but it shows up as two separate orders when taking losses and gains.

I was using double positions and not hitting my targets – not a good thing. I usually lighten up until I get a better footing for the day, but I did not, which pushed me down right above my limit. Funny thing is, when the chips were really down, I know I had to hit the next trade or I was going to have my first losing day in months.

I finally got it together and waited for a very good runner and followed it up with another one almost just like it. I put one last trade on to top off those two large gains for a total profit for the day of $ 2,600 dollars – over double daily goal. WOW, that was close.

I was not feeling well this whole week and it finally showed up. I noticed I did not have any focus and patience to wait and look for my basic trade setups and it showed. I almost was not going to trade this morning, but I reasoned with myself and went ahead.  I did not like the feeling of having a string of losses like I did (remember I took several double positions, which makes it look worst), but how I handled the emotions is what I am going to talk about today. This is the exact topic I had planned to discuss, no kidding. Is that not ironic?

Trading Discipline: Part 4

Trading Discipline has many aspects to it and I could write many more articles on the subject, but the one I will discuss today is how to handle your emotions after having multiple losses in a row. The easy answer is to just tell yourself not to get anxious and wait the move out for a directional change.

Easier said than done. We have all been there and will likely be there again at some point, but you really need to rehearse this scenario in your mind to pre-plan how you are going to deal with it when it happens. If you don’t do the work now, you will certainly do it later, but under different circumstances, which could cost you big dollars.

This is a very serious matter, more than you may realize, because it is at this point that many traders can just LOSE IT.  What I mean is, you get to a point where you can no longer handle the pain of loss and if you don’t pull it together quickly, you will self destruct. No kidding. Everything you do will be wrong, not matter what. Your trading plan will get tossed right out the window and you will go into survival mode, which is better classified as SELF DESTRUCT MODE and you really don’t want that.  So the very first thing is:

* Take a deep breath, get some oxygen in your body, so you can think clearly and take at least 30 minutes off.

* Go back over your contingency plans you thought of before this whole thing started.

* Imagine what you did when you rehearsed this scenario in your mind, see yourself confidently putting on a positive trade, while imagining hitting your target or your expected outcome.

* Be sure you do not trade past your daily loss limit.

* If you still have room to trade, plan it out, just like a sniper would pick his target. You may only have 1 or 2 bullets. Make it count.

* Have next to your computer a script of positive self talk, that will help you change your negative state of mind, this should be something you read often for this scenario.

If after doing the above, you still have a loss or even hit your daily loss limit, don’t beat yourself up. One of the reasons for a daily loss limit is it takes the pressure off. If you already know ahead of time that this is the very worst that can happen today and you accept that, how much easier can it be in relieving the stress and pressure.

One double daily goal loss is not bad, when you consider that there will eventually be days that you hit double daily goals. I do it all the time. In fact, most days are at least double daily goal. That gives me plenty of room to come back the very next day and still stay on target of at least hitting a daily goal average for the week.

Never let your trading account losses get away from you. As “Day Traders”, we need to stay alive and our life blood is trading capital. Keep the trading capital in your account, so you can trade again. If we lose our blood, we die. Don’t let this happen to you!

http://www.screencast.com/t/qortOnHL Today’s equity chart