Posts Tagged ‘market turning points’

Market Turning Points

Saturday, April 30th, 2011

4-29-11;

Market turning points are those area’s on the screen at which you see a distinct change in market direction. Those trading area’s at a minimum can be considered area’s of interest where a trade decision can be made, long or short.

If a trader were to use a scalping method, that could get him in and out quickly, profit can be made. You would first need the ability to spot the market turning points and those area’s of interest, to see if it lines up with your established scalping method. If it does, moving in to scalp a few ticks to a few points is the objective.

The markets are always pushing and pulling in one direction or another. Being able to enter with the lowest potential risk against you, draw down, is essential. Sniper Day Trading has established such a scalping method that does just that.

Their are many across the globe who aspire to be a successful scalp trader but have found their share of difficulties along the way. Being successful in this business is about knowing, that is, knowing when to enter the market and when to wait, you could say trade timing.

This takes us back to, “Market Turning Points” and how they can keep the scalp trader on the right side of the market. That is first and foremost a big problem for many, as their trade timing is just off, due to a lack of knowing which way the dominant trend of the market is in.

If you know which way the dominant trend of the market is in, you then work on your trade timing to zero in on your low risk entries. Many traders constantly struggle with all of this, as they find themselves second guessing their trade decisions.

Having a solid method to draw on is key, as it will give you all the things mentioned above. Becoming a successful scalp trader can be achieved but it does take hard work and dedication.  Identifying the dominant trend will give you market direction and your low risk entries with excellent trade timing. That sums it all up right there.

It all starts with knowing. If you know, you will be empowered to act. A lack of knowledge will keep you in the dark, wondering if you will ever get it right. It could take you many years to get this knowledge (if ever) if you were to find it on your own or you could speed it up, seeking out the information and thus becoming in “the know”.

The choice is always ours, just like the trade decisions we make during the session. We need to live with them and hopefully learn from our past so we can adjust ourselves for the future.

I wish all my readers the very best, Good Trading to all.         Friday’s scalp trades taken below, click on image to enlarge it.

Key Stock Market Turning Points

Wednesday, January 6th, 2010

Today is Tuesday, January 5th and we got just what we needed, a rally.

Yesterday, I did not post an update, but we had a nice rally to start off the year. I did see that the volume was light and that is still to be expected. It is easy to get vacation fever, I had a touch of it myself. The bigger volume will not typically come back until Monday’s session next week. That is what I remember from past years.

The market was sitting on key support. I remember I said, we could not afford to close down 1 S&P point and still maintain the long-term momentum from the March 6th lows. It held and pushed higher. This is shaping up nicely. I am sure if the short-term momentum can continue for a little while, a week or so, it will inevitably turn the ”stock market advisers” bullish, pushing the numbers to the potential trigger point of +55%. Currently it stands around 50%, but these guys are trend followers and I can only imagine they will turn bullish here right at the top. Many of them have already been bullish and good for them, but the ones that have been neutral will soon BIT. Once that happens, you can bet we are going to get a big sell off, mark my words.

We are currently at 9 years highs in the numbers when you combine the two together. That kind of excess will not sustain itself indefinitely. The only thing that will be able to work off the exuberance, is a sell off. Let me remind you, only 15% of professional stock market news letter writers are bearish. That is a small number and the majority will be proven wrong. It always happens this way, I see nothing to say, “it is different this time”. Some how, the market knows and seems to be waiting for the bullishness to catch up as well. Then in my opinion, you will have the makings for the perfect stock market storm. We are not there yet and I am only giving my opinion and not stock market advise here. I will share with you when I think all of this is going to play out. About a month ago, I did get a little excited when I saw the bearish numbers turn up so low, but the bulls were still cooking. I came back down to earth in a day or so realizing that, it was not time. 

Those numbers I am talking about are published on a website called investors intelligence, you can look it up if you want to. I just look at those numbers to get an idea of how much bullish/bearish sentiment there is out there and these numbers have proven to be very accurate in the past at very key stock market turning points.     

In my personal trading, I took one trade yesterday coming off the top. At 10:45 am West Coast, I went short at 1029 on the S&P and covered half at 1027.75 and the other half at 1028. I had unexpected company and did not have time to continue. No trading today, although today had some real nice moves to it. Just taking care of a few loose ends. I plan to get a good schedule for myself starting on Monday, this coming week. The volume will be back, I am sure the moves will be back and I will be back. I will be posting my trades from the first hour of the day at least.

The first 90 minutes of the day are where the best volume is going to come in. After that, from 11:30 to 12:45 I feel are the next best times to trade. As a “Scalp Trader“, I feel I can trade any time and still squeeze out a few points for the session. I have been doing this for some time now, but  to often last year I did not trade the open, but closer to the slower time of day. That just makes it take longer, which is really not my style.

As a “S&P Emini Day Trader“, we should all trade accordingly to our strengths, not our weakness’. If you have the patience to wait long periods of time for the trade to work and be OK with that, swing trading might be your style. If you feed off of the fast pace you may be geared to a shorter term time frame. There is a lot in between and every trader needs to really figure that out. You will not be at your potential if you are not matched up properly with your personality and trading strengths.

If anyone needs or wants helps with this, I am available. This is free advise, I will not ask you for anything, or will not try to sell you anything, but I will try to see where you are at, ask you some questions and help you identify your strengths to make sure you are going in the right direction. I don’t worry about doing this for free, it all works itself out in the long run. But helping people overcome their trading challenges brings me a lot of satisfaction and it helps me more clearly define my own strengths and allows me an avenue to express my experience to those who will listen.

So, don’t be shy and send me an email. You can get contact information at www.sniperdaytrading.com  I use Skype to communicate and my Skpye name is SniperDayTrading.

Good Trading.

http://www.screencast.com/t/ZTFlZjY1   Yesterdays one and only trade