Today is Thursday, December 2nd and we saw two days of big gains across the board to bring the market back very close to its previous high before the Thanksgiving holiday.
I am glad to see it, as well as the rising retail sales that are said to be very good, but am optimistically cautious. The market will not rally to long here as the investor sentiment is still to high for an extended run. Their are to many people expecting the market to continue its long rally at this point which will cause problems. Had the sentiment stayed under control, we could have move higher after my short term target of 1220 was hit, but that has put a damper on things.
I mentioned last week that we could retest the highs but thought that any rally would be short lived. I did a U-Tube Video a couple of days ago (Monday) and pointed out their, that we were in a position to rally back up to around 1210 and possibly to the old highs of 1222. It took an extra day of consolidation, but the short term rally did come and here we are. Over all, a large drop can come in at any time. With the news being so volatile, anything can happen now, because of the overwhelming bullish bias. We know the masses are rarely right and if so, not for long, as the market has not dropped as of yet, we are building the pressure needed to do just that. So, be careful long term.
I have not been trading the last week and half of so, but did take a few trades here and there, but nothing to big. I will likely either start up tomorrow or Monday and expect the action to be pretty good for at least two weeks as we get closer to Christmas. I would love to see this market hold up, even though I am predominantly bearish in the daily’s. I will try and show some of the low risk market entries on the S&P emini futures for a weekend post and if I trade tomorrow those too. So until then, good trading, Vince.

