Posts Tagged ‘bar chart’

The Perfect Trading Day

Saturday, December 17th, 2011

Today’s post is for Friday’s session December 16, 2011 as I had the perfect trading day.

There was some pretty good moves early on in Friday’s session in the S&P’s, but mid day things just went to sleep. I took only one trade and was actively participating in the market for 45 minutes and in the trade for 30 minutes and closed the last of my scaled out position for around 5 points. The perfect trading day, with little struggle and only one tick of draw down for the session.

For Monday’s session, I do think we will see a number I put out for Thursday’s session 1198/97 in the S&P futures but this time it will be in the active session. We hit that number called and got the desired reaction of a instant 22 S&P point rally of which I did say would happen and it did on cue, but do believe we will need to see that number now for the regular session.

I won’t be overly anxious about seeing that come to pass but just think it will come Monday. We are in a pretty good position to hit that in pretty quick fashion but again think we should see some strong buying power lift prices back up and would be looking for an up week in the markets overall. Let me post my day’s trades below.

Currently the S&P futures are at 1210 and 1197/98 is 12-13 points away, so don’t be surprised to see that move early on as it should trade in the regular session to that point. This is just my opinion and not trade or investment advise, so be sure to do your own research and analysis.

I have a larger tick chart here to fit in the whole day, but no trade indicators.  I have been trying to drive home the point that the trading method is not indicator driven and has all its own basis for taking the trades or not. It is hard to not talk about it and not say how things work, so I show something that traders who look on can identify with, trade indicators. They are consistent with the trading method but are not the basis for it. It is all very specific and clear with entries, stops and targets.

I wanted traders who are learning the method to rely on there ability to read the price apart from the indicators and do training several times per week for members to drive that point home. When you put some of the indicators back up, you will see that they confirm very nicely to give you the same exact points that the method will give you on own method analysis. I hope that is clear.

The goal is to get traders to be able to read any price chart and have confidence to trade it if they choose. It can be any style of price charts, candle charts, minute charts, tick charts, point and figure charts, range charts, it does not matter. Again, it can be in any time frame as well.

This can be very valuable when looking at one’s long term portfolio of stocks and mutual funds if you have them. The same would apply to those as well. This is a skill that can be learned. There is more than one way to view and understand the markets and the approach I take is different and not rarely seen if ever in its combination of techniques. It is my method approach that is unique to me, built up over decades, literally.

Many traders use different styles that can include some of the various bar charts as mentioned. Let me reiterate, you can use candle charts, range charts, tick charts, minute charts, as that part really does not matter. I use tick charts and build the screen with more than one time frame to get the chart to view as just one screen and time frame and that is apart of the trading method.

Beginner’s Info

Thursday, February 25th, 2010

Before you start trading, it is very important that you know what it is that you are doing and what you are trading. It is similar to trading stocks but at the same time, very different. There is a definition of terms for those who need to know the basic language in the glossary.

We are trading the S&P 500 E-Mini Futures contract. This represents a shadow or a mirror of movement in the S&P 500 cash index. Traders and institutions across the globe buy and sell contracts with each other. For many, it is a hedge against a portfolio they own and sell contracts equal to the value of their portfolio as a form of insurance. Pension funds and large institutions do the same as well as mutual fund managers.

They are buying and selling protection in the form of contracts against the Index. To do this they need a very liquid pool of futures contracts to draw from and that is where the trader comes into the picture. He or she may not want to hedge their portfolio, but may want to speculate on the future direction of the market. Traders are an essential ingredient to offer the liquidity that the institutions need to quickly move into and out of the market.

I once heard a man ask a trader what he does for a living and his answer was, “I am an asset liquidity provider, how about you”. That statement is true. That is what we do.

Each contract traded represents 50 times the current value of the index. Lets say that the Index is 1000, a nice round number. Multiply 1000 x 50 = $ 50,000 and that is the value of one contract. If the index was trading at 1100 the value of the contract would be $ 55,000. You need to put up a deposit for the right to buy and hold a contract. If you hold the position over night, you will need about $ 5,000 deposit. If you close the position at the end of the trading session the margin will go down to about $ 1,250 for one contract.(day trade margin)

At Sniper Day Trading, we trade for a modest daily goal most days, between 2-4 points. The S&P 500 emini futures trades in ticks. There are 4 ticks that make up one point. Each tick is $12.50 and since there is 4 ticks to a point, one point is $50, 4 x $12.50= $50. If our daily goal is capture 2-4 points we are trading for $100-$200 dollars per contract traded. With an opening balance of $5,000 you could conceivably buy or sell 4 contract. So to use the example above, 4 contracts traded x 100 to 200 each contract, you would be making $400-800 per day.

We don’t recommend that traders start trading the maximum, but start at the smallest and work your way up. It is possible, averaging 2 points per day that in 4 weeks you could be trading at 4 contracts and bringing in the kind of money above. You can stay at that level or increase it over time. What ever you feel comfortable with. You may decide to go slower and reach that level in 2 or 3 months and that is OK. The main thing is averaging that 2 points per day over an extended period. It is very possible, people are doing that and more all over the country and you could to.

On the main page we talk a lot about discipline, patients, and focus, all essential things for reaching your goals. But first you need to know how to trade. I offer that in my course and if you decide to become part of the family, I will see to it that you understand my trading method and how to apply it.

When we put on a trade, we teach how to enter at just the right moment as the momentum will carry you higher or lower which ever way to you are trading.

Make Money as prices go up or down

Which brings me to my next point. You can make money in either direction, up or down. Often, prices go down a lot faster that they do going up. The principal works the same. When you put on a trade that is going up, we would call that a LONG TRADE and when you put on a trade that is going down, we call that a SHORT TRADE. We teach how to take these trades in a clear concise way. No gray area.

When we take a Long Trade, we Buy to Open / Sell to Close

When we take a Short Trade, we Sell to Open / Buy to Close

There is always someone on the other side of the trade to take the position, the price is the only thing that changes. If you sold the futures or “Shorted” the market at the S&P price of 1091 and you covered the trade by buying it back at a lower price at 1088, you just made a 3 point profit of $50 X 3 points = $ 150 dollars per contract traded.

Remember that each tick is broken up in quarters and 4 quarters make up 1 point. You can think of it like 4 quarters make a dollar, but in this case, it makes $50, because each tick is worth $12.50.

Commission cost for the transaction varies on the broker but the typical costs is about $2.00 to buy one contract and $2 to sell one contract. The complete transaction is called “round-turn”, buying, then selling.

TIME CHARTS

When building our charts on the screen, we use tick data. Tick data is different than time data. Trading in a one minute bar chart is the smallest increment of time that you can use. When using TICK CHARTS, you can create a much more detailed view of the trading history. It is through this trading history that we are able to draw up our entries in this much more detailed view. It allows us to enter at the exact point, Sniper Style, to hit our mark. Get in, Get out, Get done.

We teach precise entry and exit points using these tick charts and with the ongoing training you will always see the method applied to current data.

Above, is an example of a Candle Stick Chart. These are typical setups for us, as you can see the entries short and then long. The first trade was good for 1 to 2 points and the second good for the same or higher.

I usually follow bar charts that have an open, high, low and close to them, as shown above. Some people like using candle stick charts and that is a matter of preference. Candle charts have a wider body and make it a little easier to see the open, high, low and close, but using tick charts, often we need the screen room to see the complete patterns developing as well as one feature that I use to help visually see the change in direction. Often, this change in direction matches the other components of the method which helps to confirm our entry, LONG or SHORT.

Different Types of Orders

There are three main types of orders used in our style of trading. There are “Market Orders”, “Limit Orders” and “Stop Orders”. I use all three of them at different times for different reasons and explain it all in my course and mentoring program.

A market order, in our style of trading is typically used to close positions that are still open. Others may use them to start a position but we don’t often do that. It better serves us to use this order when we have an open position close to our stop loss and decide it is better to close the position and the protective stop at once. Both done with one click of the mouse at the same time.

A “Limit Order”, is an order to buy or sell at the specific price that we specify. See the example below. There is a blue column, the “Bid Size” and red column, the “Ask Size” This is where I place my orders. By clicking inside the blue column, price 1091.50, I am willing to buy at that price only. When contracts become available from the other side, the red column, my order is filled and I will have gone “Long the S&P emini futures market”. The opposite is true for “Selling Short”. This is an example of buying or selling with a “Limit Order”.

The last order type, “Stop Orders”, are usually used to protect a trader from incurring a greater loss than what he has predetermined ahead of time. For me, it is 1 point or less on all trades I put on. ($50 dollars per contract traded or less). That is the maximum loss and is set automatically at the time I click the order to buy. No need to do anything else. You can set predefined limit order targets and they can go up at the same time as your order entry as well. One click of the mouse and the rest of the entire process is complete. You can even stagger your “Limit Order Targets” if you trade more than one contract, say 1 point and 2 points. If the first one gets hit and filled, your stop loss will automatically adjust itself to only protect now the remaining half of your open position. Nothing else needs to be done, but just the one click order entry, period.

This is a very nice feature for those who may lack discipline in placing their stops and targets when and where they should after they enter the market. You can even use the one click feature just explained and use a “Trailing Stop Loss”. This will automatically move your protective Stop Loss up with say a rising market. You can set a trigger point, say its one point. When you reach that one point level you sell half your first position, every tick the market rises from there, your stop will rise by that much, keeping a 4 tick stop position. If the market had moved up 3 points quickly and came back 1 point, you would automatically sell your remaining position at 2 points, locking in your profit. This is because you preprogrammed it to do just that. This again is a great way to capture more profit in a fast moving market all automatically. The only thing that starts the process is just the one click of the mouse. Done. Very Cool. I, most often do it manually, but that is me. I can show you how to set this upin a blink of an eye and teach you to effectively use this feature.

Different Types Of Trading

There are different types of trading. The three most common, “Day Trading”, “Swing Trading” and “Position Trading”. Day Trading is what we do, because we never hold any position over night and make a few trades inside the daily session. Swing Trading, will carry positions over-night and hold those positions for several days. Position Trading, will hold similar trades but for several weeks or months.

Inside of Day Trading, there are several approaches as well. We look at three main tick charts, separated by small, medium and large time frames. Depending on the traders preference, if he or she has one, we can tailor our program to match your current trading style, or mirror what I am using for my trading. In our first meeting together, I will be able to help you discover what is the best time frame for you to start with. Naturally, I will show you how I set up my charts and fully explain the way that I trade. After that, we can go from there.

Scalp Trading

Scalp Trading, is often misunderstood. There is really no set definition that will clearly define it. It may mean one thing to someone and something else to another. That said, what I most often do is Scalp Trade the S&P 500 futures emini market. You can trade other markets like the Russell, the NASDAQ, or the Dow Jones. Each has an emini futures market that is liquid and very trade-able.

When the trading range is very narrow, scalping 2, 3 or 4 ticks, may be all the market safely gives you, without waiting around hours for a good trade setup. This is how I would define Scalp Trading.

With our base daily goal of 2 points or 8 ticks, you only really need say, 1 trade for 1 point and two trades for 3 ticks and that would also cover commissions and you are done for the day.

The setups are the same in the smallest time frame, as compared to the highest time frame, because the market is “Fractal” in nature. That means the same patterns and setups occur in all time frames across the board, showing a trading symmetry that is often seen in nature, below is an example of that.

With my trading approach, we are able to capture what the market is giving us. If the trading range is expanding and large swings are showing up, we can capture those moves for multiple point returns.

Scalp Trading, gives you the ability to save time in your trading, by getting in getting out and getting done with it and on to other things. I don’t trade all day, like many do. This style of trading offers the “Time Freedom” that many covet. Having the Trading Discipline to walk away after hitting our Day Trading Goal is key in keeping the struggle to a minimum.

Getting what you need from the market, is like shopping for fresh meat and produce at your local supermarket. If you try to stock up on too much, it will go bad and you will lose it all. I find the same true in trading, getting what you need for today is a better approach and produces trading discipline, controls greed and keeps the traders struggle manageable. It is a lot easier to get 2-4 point in a day verses 8-10 points in a day. When you are not able to reach this high trading goal, it will produce frustration and feelings of failure can creep in, derailing all of your efforts.

Controlling Fear and Greed

Many traders just starting out, soon discover that they have almost what seems like uncontrollable trading emotions. They find it difficult to stay focused and maintain control. Often, traders find themselves trading with their minds to focused on the money. That is a sure-fire way to slow your progress and often ruin it entirely.

Most traders have gone through this, but most don’t know how to break the bonds of these powerful emotions, Fear and Greed while Day Trading. The good news is, I do know and is very much apart of the Sniper Trading approach. These are things that I uncover and address to my students and take this part very seriously. Starting out, many are not even aware of these dangers, but that is my job to prepare you for any unforeseen problems that can come between you and your modest daily trading goal each day.

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Today’s Market Coments; Training idea’s continue tomorrow

Friday, June 26th, 2009

Today is Thursday June 25th and the markets have made a move.

Did not follow the markets today but had a chance to look at the price action after-the-fact. I saw that in the pre-market, futures on the S&P moved up sharply just a few points above yesterday’s high, very typical. That move took out the stops just above that previous high and with no additional buyers, it was straight back down to this morning’s open.

After the open a slight drift lower and a big break out over some real nice pivot points that sent the market straight up from there. There were two more pushes higher, the second good for another massive leg of 12 points.

Well, you don’t get days like that too often, especially in the summer months. I have noticed the volume is way down, not quite by half. That makes it a little harder to trade at times. The volume is coming in early on the session, with traders leaving for the rest of day. They are making their money and going on to do something else.

But today looked a bit different. We have not had any real good swings like I see on the charts today. But remember, no two days are alike. Many traders will attempt to play tomorrow’s action similar to today’s, but will find out that it may or may not work out that way. Often after a big move up or down, you will see a good bit of consolidation, marked by short swings up and down. This is the market’s way of digesting the meal that it just ate.

So be prepared for that just the same as you would be prepared for follow through moves of similar magnitude. Looking at today’s price action, there seems to be a bit more room to the upside of this move to around 930 on the cash market. Have a look at it below in a 10 minute bar chart. You will see a nice little break out just after the open, that pushed it to the top of the range, just before it broke out above the range. In a small time frame chart, this looked about as good as it gets. At 6:39 you have a solid buy at 893.50 which if you rode it up, the move would have kept you in the trade until 7:14 am exiting at 903 for 9 1/2 point gain. Very nice price action day for those trading the trend.

I am going to end my post for now. I have my daughter visiting from out of town but will continue the training where I left off in tomorrow’s posting.

http://www.screencast.com/t/grAuYtKS4jl 10 minute chart of S&P 500 cash

Trading Lesson; Part Two

Thursday, June 25th, 2009

Today is Wednesday June 24th and markets found a footing to mount a nice rally on the open.

Today’s market action was a nice reaction to a pattern that was setting itself up all day yesterday. I wanted to show it but I decided to write something else instead. I knew something was brewing there. We had a real nice controlled move back up to the middle of the range, moving right to a 62% retracement off of the last pivot high before the break.

For those interested to look at this market action a little closer, I have below a 10 minute bar chart of the S&P with some market comments and break points identified on it. You can see where the pressure points were and draw some comparison to how price action flows for the last few days. You need to know what it looks like, so that in the future when you see similar setups and patterns you can with some degree of accuracy draw some conclusions.

Do note that the price action over the last few days has with it some gap days in the cash market, meaning that the futures had moved out above and below some of these support and resistance areas before the general public could take advantage of the breaks. Trading in the premarket before the open could have placed you in the break out areas as shown Just thought I would point that out. The street is not letting the public take advantage of the full move by taking it up and down before them, a sort of front running. Again, just an observation.

The market is now forming a larger “Triangle” formation, with resistance above and support below. Again you can see this in the chart below. I was expecting the move back up to the middle of the range, big time, but where from here as I said yesterday. We seem to have found support right where I drew that parallel on Monday’s daily chart. There is no other logical reason for the market to stop where it did. It is not close to any support from the left side of the daily charts, but has stopped right in its tracks in a not so obvious place.

Why?  Well, I believe that is where the unseen support comes in. Not so easy to see with the naked eye, but another reason why you should learn how to plot and chart parallels. It’s not a science as I have said before, but it can be a useful tool if you know how to use it.

Maybe tomorrow I will show how the downside move over the last 10 trading days was confined to a parallel downside channel as well. This gave you the downside potential target and the upside resistance area that we hit today. If you are trading for large targets this information can give you the patience and staying power to wait out the move until the objectives have been met, as long as the price action supports it Price always rules.

I will continue where I left off  yesterday in pointing out common and critical trading struggles with the would be trader.

Point number two was, “Reaching for trades, trying to make up previous losses”.

*** There is a right way to go about making up lost ground and I will discuss that after I point out the problem. When you find yourself down a few trades and in negative territory, most traders get taken over by a swell of emotions that usually makes things worse for themselves.  You get overwhelmed by your loss and how the market just seems to know where you put your stop and it goes to it like a magnet, another loss.

As I said yesterday, you can not allow yourself to bleed out. Take each trade on its own merit and shake off the losses. Be mindful not to lose your nerve and confidence. If you do, it is only going to get worse. You cannot make rational trading decisions from this negative posture. If you have 3 losses in a row and it could even be two in a row, you are now in the “PENALTY BOX” for being bad. It is obvious that you are not in tune with the price action and need to walk away and take a break.

Look at each trade and see if it meets the qualifications you have previously set up for a buy and or sell decision. If it has not, DON’T TAKE THE TRADE. Let me tell you, not taking a trade is just as important as taking one and is in fact taking a trading position, a no trade position. You will be amazed what a little time will do in offering a whole new set of price action reads for you to consider. But if you rush in too quickly to try and prematurely recapture lost gains, you are only setting yourself up. “Just Say No”. Moments later, you will see what it is you were looking for, the perfect trade setup.

One additional solution is to use what I had pointed out yesterday, by doing something physical, to get your blood pumping and oxygen flowing to your brain. I suggested doing 10 push-ups or more when you find yourself in any difficult position. You could do something else, like push a little iron, whatever you think you can do to break the destructive pattern you find yourself in. Some traders get paralyzed and cannot leave the screen as they continue to frustrate themselves to no end. Many destroy their account so that the pain will somehow stop. Don’t let that be you.

One last thing on this and it will be a big help in taking the pressure off. I believe that all traders have bad days and we know that is the truth, but you need to draw a line in the sand well ahead of time as to where is your cut off point for the day. If you don’t do this, you and your trading account are going to have that real bad day that you do not want to think about. Well, you have nothing to stop you, because you have not set up in your mind where you are going to stop trading for the day.

I have what I call double my daily goal as my daily loss limit. It’s enough room to breath but not too bad to make up the next day if in fact you get there. Minimum daily goal is 2 net points a day, but often is 4, so your daily loss limit is 4 S&P points for the day. If you find yourself there, STOP.

I will pick it up tomorrow, out of time and space for today. Trade on!

http://www.screencast.com/t/HQWZvmnef6O 10 minute chart of S&P with notes and comments