Archive for the ‘Slow Market’ Category

Today’s Turning Points

Wednesday, March 21st, 2012

Today is Wednesday March 21st, and the markets are really slowing down as today we are just approaching 1.5 million contracts traded in the S&P emini’s with some of that coming in the premarket.

Until the markets pick back up, trading for smaller targets is looking to make more sense. Today’s market we did see a few good moves early on as I show in today’s chart below and its turning points, but it really slowed down in the mid day session. Let me post today’s chart below and under that, I will post Monday and Tuesday’s.

Monday and Tuesday;

I have had limited time to trade these last couple of weeks as we moved to a new home. It is always a lot more work than we think it is and it has limited my ability to stay focused. I took one trade each on Monday and Tuesday with a -3 tick loss for each. I did have good profit in the trade and could have cleared 1.50 points on both trades, but let it go for a full two points.

The second chart is the larger chart in my T-2 screen which fits inside the smaller one. This makes is easier to see both days without putting up separate charts for you.

Hopefully by next week things will settle down and the markets will pick up.

I wish everyone the best and hope to write a good article for a weekend post, so at least look for that coming up.

Vince

Last Two Trading Sessions

Monday, February 27th, 2012

Today is 2-27-12 and I will post my last two trading sessions below.

I found today a bit frustrating as I started after we had a very large run up. Many times, the range tightens up after such a move and today was true to form. I did still come out OK with a small gain on the day, but not really to happy with it. I took a bigger stop than normal on one trade and later picked the top of the session with an hour to go. Many would see this as a good entry and by rights it was, but its not the kind of trade I look for in a regular session.

Friday’s session just a couple of trades while I was on the road visiting family. An OK session with a modest gain also for the day. The charts below.

Friday’s session;

Trading Volume is slowest in 10 years

Wednesday, February 8th, 2012

The trading volume in yesterday’s market 2-7-12 was the slowest, non holiday trading session in 10 years, with volume on the S&P emini coming in just over 1 million contracts traded. Today’s volume was a little better, but still lacked volatility. The low volatility kept me from finding entry points that were acceptable, so I just let the day somewhat go by. I had a small gain on the day today but good gains in that slowest day in a decade. I will post the two last trading days charts below. Good Trading to all.   Yesterday’s first below;

Today’s day below;

Limited Gains on Large Gap Higher

Sunday, February 5th, 2012

Friday’s trades 2-3-12.  Friday we saw a large gap up, as the market continues its trek higher. It has gone a little higher than I thought it would go, but the market can do what ever it wants. My job is to take a little out of it on the way. I am little short of words the last few posts, but will have more to say this coming week.

The short trade in the chart below is a little in response to the tight narrow range as it really was not a method trade. A good low risk trade non the less, with only a 3 tick stop on it after entry.

The market overall is hinting to higher yet prices in the daily’s, but once we get to a confirmed extreme, I will then again share my opinion as I did jump the gun in anticipation of it. Until then, I will plug away. Good Trading to all, Vince

Large Gap Higher in Today’s Market

Wednesday, February 1st, 2012

Today is the first day of February, 2012 and the market showed that it still has something left in it as we saw a gap higher and follow through during the day. Only late in the session did price come off, but still enough to hold onto most of the days gains with the Dow +83 and the S&P futures +12 on the session.

Today as mentioned we saw a large gap higher. That does tend to change the price action after the open as I have seen so often. The bulk of the gains came in the night session, leaving little left for the regular session traders. This is a good example of being careful on days like today. If you happen to get in early and ride up the move to later in the session, fine, but if you came in looking for price swings on a day like today, you were disappointed.

I was late coming in, which has been typical to when I usually start and had a good first trade short for a quick good scalp. Just after, the trade I would have taken at around 9:15 a.m. West Coast, I had to take a call and missed the trade. I was looking for a continuation trade higher and that is just the way it goes. I would have been done right there as days like today can present problems with tight ranges because of the earlier gap higher.

After that, with the narrow trading range and lack of movement, I began to reach in looking for the next trade. I did not want to trade all day for sure, so I went hunting. This is a mistake as it goes against the method and is not really a good idea. It could have worked out but today it did not. You can see that the next two trade series I was going against the grain in trying to “pick a top”.  Again, that was not a method trade and you can clearly see that in the trade indicators below.

I did manage to come up with a positive session and a modest daily goal, but only as I hit the last trade hard with a heavier position. I could have taken another trade that was below that, but was glad to stop where I did.

Day’s like today can be a little difficult. The best advise is tailor your expectation down and be content with modest gains if you have them. This is not a day to look for big moves. The market was just not giving it up and so adjusting your targets and daily goal to be inline with the day was in order.

Tomorrow is a new day with new reads and a complete new start point. Even though today turned out OK, I really don’t like to see myself going against the grain like I did. It says a few things about me and I do have to dig that up and get at the root, so I don’t see it again any time soon.

This is a good example of why I write my blog and post my trades. If I don’t want to embarrass myself and show what bad trades I made, then all I have to do is make the right choices as per the method and all is well.

OK, I will end this here and post my trades for the day below. Wishing you all the best.

Quick Trading Day Today

Wednesday, January 25th, 2012

1-24-12;  Today was a quick trading day and a quick blog post for me, as  it is Wednesday already, 12:24 a.m. and I am way overdue for sleep. So, I will only post my trades below.

In today’s trading, I took 3 trades for about 3 net points total and was done in around 45 minutes. I started just as that rally took off before my first entry and could see that there was a few more ticks left in the move. I could have waited, but was able to get a little before the turn. See notes on screen shot for the rest.

I made mention in yesterdays blog somewhat how I lay out and setup my charts.  I don’t show you everything that I use, but this may give you some insight on how I look at things. I won’t always show this full picture view but I am trying to stretch myself a little in showing a touch more. Best to all my readers, Vince

Healthy Pull Back in Major Averages

Monday, October 17th, 2011

Today is Monday October 17th, 2011 and will just be posting my trades from Friday and Monday with limited comments. I plan to continue writing where I left off last week so those looking for more of that, check back tomorrow as I will try and get my post up early.

Today’s market saw a healthy pull back before hitting 1232 in the Globex night session, with limited damage to the loss of momentum. Tomorrow will be an important day to see if the market can shore up the weakness. Overall, we will see higher prices, even if in the short term the market pulls back more from here.  World events do look a bit scary out there and one could understand traders bearishness, but we will need to work off more of this bearish tone before that will happen and the easiest way to do that is for the markets to go up.

Friday’s Trades below and today’s will be under that, both days with good gains and daily goals.

Today Monday’s trades below.

Until tomorrow, Trade well and committed.

Stock Market Looking at New Highs

Thursday, July 7th, 2011

Today is July 7th, 2011 and we saw more bullish action on the street today. It looks like the market found something to rally on in the better than expected jobs report. The bulk of the days gains came in the gap opening and left little room for the rest of us. Often a very large gap opening will take volatility away from the rest of the session and today was no exception.

Later on in the day the market did give those who could wait, a few good long opportunities. I stopped just before that, but that is really fine. I had a small loss on the session and just gave up with the lack luster price action. I have a screen shot of the day action below. The indicators were on, but a few of the early trades I took would have been better served if I waited. All in all, I am OK with it, a very small loss is fine and can easily be made up in another session. I won’t be thinking about making it up, but it will just happen. That way, there is no added reminder or pressure to do so. Good Trading to all.

Gold & Silver Hit 31 Year Highs

Thursday, April 21st, 2011

Today, April 21st 2011, we saw Gold & Silver hit 31 years highs with amazing demand for the metals. Just since January, Silver had pulled back from 31 to 27 per oz, where it took on another massive move higher, to now almost 47 in less than 4 months.

If you compare the high in Silver to the Highs seen in the early 80’s where the Hunt Brothers tried to corner the Silver market, the metal would have to move up to, I believe, $140 an oz just to be at par with where it was back then, because of inflation.

If you ask me, Silver and Gold are just getting started, even though they have been in a long term bull move for more than 10 years. Both of those metals are a very good insurance policy against a paper dollar that has seen its purchasing power dwindle year after year, decade after decade.

Below is today’s turning points in the small T-2 chart for Sniper Day Trading. Most of the days turning points are seen, but there were some very good trades before that not shown on the screen shot.

The Silver market is huge, with contract size being at 5,000 oz, a 1 dollar more in the metal represents $5,000 dollars. With today’s move, over 2 dollars from the previous open, you have a basic windfall for many.

Looking at it another way, scalp trading the metal for .10 to .20 cent moves is $500 – $1,000 dollars per trade. It will work the same against you if you are wrong, so be sure you know what is going on and are well capitalized and trading a precision trading method.

My trading method works the same with Silver as it does with the S&P.  Today’s moves are only an example of what has been happening for months. The moves are very much in line with the trading method and very predictable when seen through the eyes of a Sniper.

Trading this market, you need to be a Sniper, picking the exact area of interest as price gets ready to move out. I have those area’s circles and identified above. Click on the chart and you will see the turning points here just the same way you see them in the S&P.

The Gold and Oil market are two other markets with great interest and plenty of emotion backing them.

The S&P did trade today, but I took the day off. There was no movement, and that I am sure could have frustrated many a trader. It does not pay to try and trade a market that has virtually no trading range at all.

The market will still be here next week and we will again see life coming back into the index’s. Until then, lay low and safe.

Tomorrow is Good Friday and I believe shortened trading session? Be sure you know. I would already know that, but I don’t plan to trade, so don’t need to know . The point, check if you are going to trade. It is no fun seeing the market close on you with contracts still on board, now having to hold over the weekend. I did that once, and only once.

Good Trading !

Market Advances With More Still to Come !

Monday, October 18th, 2010

T0day is Monday October 18th, 2010 and the market did continue its advance as called in yesterdays blog with the Dow up +80 points and the S&P +3.75 points on the close.

In yesterdays blog post I said the market would likely advance even though the market at the time was down over 8 S&P future points (about 80 Dow Points) on its way to over -10 point S&P points and rallied as I thought it would. It is the start of another wave coming this week which should get the S&P to 1200. Their is a little left in this market and it is getting played out as we speak.

One statement that I could not forget from yesterdays writings was, “The rally would not end until all the shorts have covered and the longs are all invested”. That stuck to me for a while, because that is what I think is now happening. The big decline that everyone was expecting in late August/ early September, never happened and those traders and investors that went short then are the ones who are helping cover this market to new high ground. We are now around 140 S&P points above that low turning point on the S&P with a little more to go.

Everyone needs to do a little soul searching and come to the realization that the economy is being pumped up from various directions. I won’t go into what I could at this time, but just know, markets are a lot bigger than you and me. We just need to know who is playing and what is their objective to know the next move. You will never come a realization of fact until you see things as they are and not as you want them to be. Far to many people are seeing things as they hope, dream and wish, but its not about us and what we want in this world. It is about what is and what are you going to do about it. Harsh words, I know, but this is the only kind of thinking that will keep you on the right side of the market.

Their is a time to bearish and a time to be bullish. Late August in general, was not a time for a bearish position. Just like what is potentially shaping up now as not a time for a bullish position. So, be like a doctor and take the pulse and heart rate of the market. Do not see it as you want it to be, because the market is larger than you and does not really care what you or I think. Try and see the masses and what are they doing and why are they doing it. Their you will get answers as to the real intentions of what is taking place.

In today’s trading I did have a quiet morning to follow the markets. I often don’t trade the early market open, but I am trying to change a long habit of trading when ever. With a solid methodology, a trader can do this, but it could end up being more work than it has too. Meaning, if trying to trade the slow mid day portion of the day, most traders will struggle with issues. Market to slow, no patients to wait for the setup, anxiety, forcing trades are just a few problems traders will face during the 9 to 11 am West Coast time. It could serve as a good time to learn or get ready for the afternoon session or what have ya, but as a rule, traders should be very careful trying to trade during this time.

Back to how I did today. I took a few more trades than I wanted to, but enough to get what I came for. I know that on the open, the market is not always going to show its hand so quickly, so I was ready for a couple of scalp trades. The two I took, were just a little out of reach, I did not get filled on the first one and did not reach the second one when I want to get cover. It all worked out in the end and chalked up another winning day. Nothing earth shattering, but we have to take what the market gives and it was not putting out a whole lot in the early morning. The chart below.

Good trading to all, until next time, Vince over and out.