Archive for the ‘Market News’ Category

Fed Declares Low Rates Till 2014

Wednesday, January 25th, 2012

1-25-12;  Today, the market was moving very slowly until the Fed declares low rates till 2014. Things suddenly picked up and started to move.

It was a good thing as seen by those on the street, but it is likely be very inflationary. With the Fed’s target rate for inflation at 2% it seems unlikely that in the real world that real people will experience a rate that low. It has been said, that illusion is greater than reality and maybe that would apply here. Gold and Silver thought as I did with a huge rally in both of the metals.

In today’s trading I had three trades 2 early on and one much later in the day, as seeing the price action was so right for an addition trade and took one, which was good for about 5 points at the top as I scaled out on the way with a larger position. The days trades in the chart below.

I have two charts up on one screen again today and don’t know how long I will keep doing that, but I still am for now.

Monday I talked about the two charts acting as one chart, and so started to show you what I mean in the last few sessions. I did include the tabs at the bottom of my screen as well. This is the middle view as I have series smaller and one series larger. I don’t show everything on my chart as I do have a few things taken off, but the point is, this trading method is driven by understanding and acting on that understanding of price first and indicators confirming.

Price has three components to it. Time, space, energy. We need to see time pass to allow for the build up of energy and while it is doing both of those, it is passing through space. It has to go somewhere and that is does. It gets expressed in the posting of price bars on the screen. The three components work in line with each other adding the fact that support then becomes resistance when broken. It is looking and understanding these concepts to a definable level where one can then apply these principles to make positive trades.

I don’t really like the term winning trade as that has a flip side with losing trades and the whole thing is equated with a gamble. This is not a gamble if you can steer the odds to your favor by using a trading methodology that will continue to express itself in positive out-coming trades, hows that.

Notice the word ” If “  as that is a big word with a lot of meaning. If you can steer the odds to your favor. How does one do that?  It can be done by understanding the three elements of trading and applying those principals to the charts.

That sounds easier said than done, but that is why we all need to continue to research and uncover the missing pieces. Some have all the time they need to do that, but time is money. It has taken a long time for me to piece all the pieces of the puzzle together and have come up with something that works. I show my trades every day to give those who look on a working understanding that this is possible and it does help me be accountable to myself as I do have an audience.

It is my goal to become a better trader than I currently am. I know my weaknesses and am trying to address them. I would love to get a much better trading schedule established, but I seem to trade when I am up and that always seems to be a different time. I was missing the easy early morning trades and stuck with the slow moving stuff during the mid-day N.Y. lunch. Starting a little earlier like I have been trying this week has helped make it easier on me to pick up my modest daily goal of 2-4 points in the ES each day I trade.

So far this week, I have put on 9 trades in three days and all for gains. I don’t like keeping tabs on this kind of thing, but I just plan to trade well, exercise patients and some form of discipline as it relates to the trading method.

OK, that’s it for now.  Trade well, trade committed, Vince

Corporate Insiders Sell at Top-Buy at Bottom?

Tuesday, August 9th, 2011

Corporate insiders sold at the top of this market, three weeks ago, in the biggest way since 1974 or since records were being kept. Now, they do an about face and are buying in large numbers, enough to get those who follow to take notice.

That is a good sign that someone finds the market attractive at these levels and lets hope this has legs. Is it possible that what we saw is just a flash correction to the move still yet up? Time will tell, but this development is a good sign for at least the short term. We will see some kind of follow through in tomorrows open and then it is will be the closing bell to watch for further signs of direction.

Going back to my first point, it is very interesting that collectively the NYSE and the AMEX corporate officers all got it right, at the same time and with precision ( several thousand companies). I just find that a little amazing that they all knew to sell at the same time and did it with precision. I know about market timing with precision, but most company heads are not that good at timing the market from a technical point of few.

It would not surprise me that they they knew the S&P downgrade was coming and enough of the big boys were going to make sure that trigger points were hit, to accelerate the move, pushing the public out so they could come in to get the shares they sold back at discount prices.  I can’t help it, that is just the way I think as it is not the convention thinking by the public. Is it possible, is all I am saying. Is it like that, who knows. Now the insiders were buying in the face of this drop as reported by Vickers Insider Report. Well, good job, if this is the bottom.

In today’s trading, I took two trades one stopped out for -1.5 points and the second one for +4 points/+8 points and +13 points to cover right at the short term market bottom. I was very pleased to get that trade on and very content to leave it just like that. This market is very hard to trade and get good fills when you want them and exits when you want out. Any trader trying to participate will likely have to have a bigger stop and should trade down in size to compensate for the increased volatility.  You can loose a lot of money in a day like today, if you are not disciplined and wise.

In the chart above I show the detailed view of the first few hours of the day. The Fed did make an announcement on rates and in a shocking move, said that there intentions are to leave rates the same into 2013. Wow, that is a big statement and puts a lot of pressure on them to keep up with that. This seems to be there reaction to the S&P downgrade, by saying, we are bigger than the markets and we will keep rates where we want them, thus creating artificial demand for there Treasury Bonds.  Do you know how to read between the lines there?  They are saying we will see QE3 and maybe even QE4.  Its all a bunch of …………  You fill in the line, as I don’t have words for it.

This will ensure that they are not going to do anything about fixing the internal problems we have, but will just continue to make it worst, seemingly on purpose all the while making it look like they are trying to help.  Please, these people are not dumb and they know exactly what they are doing and know the results of there actions.

Let me say it this way and some of you may see it.  If you want to change a great system for the people to a system for the those on top and in power, you have to break the one you have so you can create the one you want, (them; those in power). Lets start with the bankers as they are the ones with money and I will leave it there.

OK, I was on a Rant there and need to calm down. That’s it for today.  Trade safe or wait out this volatility until the risk becomes manageable.

Trade well, trade committed

S&P Rating Agency Downgrades U.S Debt

Monday, August 8th, 2011

The market today and the last few weeks have been in liquidation mode. Panic looks like it is settling in, with S&P rating agency downgrading the U.S. debt,( Government Bond market).  It may be a surprise to some, but the signs for such a sell off were there. The downgrading was the a bit of piling on into a market that was heading south anyway. It is all just happening faster now with everyone trying to get through the door at the same time. It does not look good as global markets are in an uproar as well. There is global unrest all over Europe and there debt crisis is far from over.

Some have been predicting this for some time and now may be that time?  With the cat out of the bag as far as the U.S. debt problems, the spot light will be on Washington to see how they handle these new events. Will it be met with more spend and or is this a good time to hit the public with new taxes through things like taking the mortgage deduction away and or a number of other programs they have all set to go to raise revenue, all while not raising the percentage tax rates. Time will tell.

I read an article last week titled, need a new trillion dollars?  This was doing about 12 things that would raise about 1 trillion dollars revenue for the government by taking certain deductions and such away. I bet we will see such measures here pretty soon. Austerity.

I did not post for Friday session, but will do it here. I seem to be posting about 4 days a week and always mean to get Friday’s up, but it to often does not happen. So, here is Friday’s session trades and today’s as well.  Both days did well, with Friday a modest daily goal, but today I only traded a few minutes in total, but hit 4 times daily goal in one Globex trade from yesterday after the S&P open for 2 points and one premarket trade today for about 4 points and was able to get situated for a late session trade for about 6 points. I had limited time to trade today but it all worked out great.

The session charts below Today’s first.

Friday’s Market

All traders need to be careful with this market, it is fast moving and can be unforgiving if you make a mistake or get your stop run over. If you place an order and then place a stop after that you could find that the market dropped double or triple over the area you wanted to place your stop. At this point, you think it might come back and find that it drops more and now you are in deep trouble, panic can set in as you see the price like 10 points off your entry. This kind of thing can happen and would suggest to learn how to place a stop at the same time of your entry, instantaneously. Any other type of order and you will be playing with matches in this type of environment.

Be careful and do not get greedy. This kind of market is not to taken lightly and many traders will even sidestep this type of market all together. Caution is totally needed. If you don’t have discipline and for some reason, you pull your stops and or do any other number of mistakes, traders will pay for it dearly. In addition, your typical stops will usually have to increase to take in account the increased volatility, but your targets should be larger to help make up for that increased risk.   Take it slow and don’t over trade.

Trade well, trade committed

Stock Market Sell Off

Thursday, August 4th, 2011

Thursday, August 4th, 2011 we saw the Stock Market sell off. Down over 411 points at one time late in the session as I write this at 12:00 pm West Coast time.

Last week, I wrote about how Corporate insiders have been selling at the largest ratio since this kind of data was being collected, 1974.  The ratio was 13 to 1 selling vs buying. It may have gone unnoticed for some, but that was a big piece of news that should not have been taken lightly. That piece of news could have tipped you off to this stock market sell off. The extreme was recorded about two weeks ago now and it has proved to have been a good sign to sell at the top. Market sentiment had also gotten very bullish, to the point which was another warning sign. Those readings work in reverse as the majority is usually wrong.

Some will say, this is signaling another recession and they may well be right, that is assuming that we were out of the first one. For many people this has seemed like a depression, but will it get worst?  That is for the markets to decide right now and they will. I think we could see 1188 on the charts at a minimum, but you never know how fast it might come. The Fed may come in and decide to do QE3 and pump more money in the system and or they could drain it. They hold the power to move markets indirectly and it happens.

I did not post yesterday, but will put up my trades for yesterday and today. It was a quick session for me yesterday about 20-30 minutes, and it lasted a little longer today, about 90 minutes. Both days picking up my daily goal. I got a late start today and just as well. This gave me a chance to see what the markets real intentions were. Rally back up to fill the gap, or continue the down trend lower.                         Today’s trades here first

Yesterdays Trades

Note;  The trading indicators are not the trading method, but it is consistent with it. It makes for a nice confirmation and guide for sticking to a structured market trading plan.  You can and will know when you trade out side that, as the trading indicators will let you know and the market will often let you know by stopping you out for a loss as I did in today’s session with two trades.  I was able to come back pretty easily, when I waited for the trading method to tell me what to do. Following our emotions can be misleading and that is why having a disciplined approach will take you to your trading goal, that is, if you have something that works.

You need three things to happen to get the results we are looking for. The right “Time – Space – Energy”.  When you have the right time to enter, you have the trading advantage, when you have the right space or you can say, place on the chart, which takes up space, you have the trading advantage and when you have the right amount of stored energy, you have the trading advantage.

All three of those things work together to get you what you want, price movement and profit. You have the ability to harness those three things as they work together all for your advantage, if you know how to do it and do it consistently.

Having and keeping the mental advantage is just as important and the two go hand in hand. Here you need both as well, to get the whole picture working for you.

There is plenty a trader can do to get his mind in shape, with one being my free E-Book on “The Power of Concentration”.  It is on the front page of my website and is a great addition for those seeking to get a handle on focusing your energy to accomplish a desired goal. Its an easy and interesting read and its free.  I won’t be pounding you with follow up queries to do any more than your free request for the E-Book. If you have questions or comments, you can always email me, but that’s it. The book is just to help those in that area.

What ever your method or trading plan, be consistent or as best you can. That way if you find something that works, you will have a good chance to duplicate it again and again. If not, your efforts will be left to chance and we all know that is a gamble. Which would you prefer?

Trade well, trade committed.

Key Market News- A Must Read

Tuesday, August 2nd, 2011

The market first on Sunday night rallied substantially on the news of a deal, but with a early report out, ISM report, the market fell.  That is I believe, a reading for what future economic actively will look like in the months ahead and it has been showing signs of slowing. In fact the ISM report is a purchasing survey of the U.S. service economy.

The market is on the edge and getting closer to a cliff hanger. Much more selling and it will trigger massive orders. Today’s close will say a lot, as I am writing this an hour before the closing bell.

I hit better than double daily trading goal in yesterdays trading and a solid gains for today as well. Only 45 minutes of trading today, unlike several hours of trading yesterday. I had to hang around to recover from a few bad trades. You can see how it compares to the trading indicators and you will see the ones that don’t match. I hung in there for the move I was looking for and it showed up in a big way, as I pointed out to my members yesterday.

I will post my trades for yesterday and today below.

Yesterdays Trades;

Today’s Trades August 2nd;

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What came from the budget talks?  There sure was a lot of posturing going on.  It looked like someone was trying to sell something to America with all the build up and now it is clear once the dust settles. I won’t talk about it here, but for those who want more insight into this as it relates to our future as a nation and the trading markets indirectly, do a google search on “super congress” and read some of the articles. This clears up a lot as to why this time it was different as I wrote in my previous blogs. They needed the build up to create a sense of urgency so this could get put in place.

I saw something months ago back in April and it became more clear as things came down to the wire.

Make your move on the markets and take control of your future, this is the best medicine for the situation.

Trade well, trade committed.

Insiders Selling-fastest pace since data collected

Saturday, July 30th, 2011

7-29-11; Friday’s market action sure showed us some volume and movement. With all that is going on in Washington, the volume and volatility is likely to continue.

Let me post my Friday results first and I will share a piece of news that may be of interest to position traders and investors. Fridays trading turned out very good, but how I got there was not. I made a few mistakes and took on a big draw down for me.  I usually only risk between 4-6 ticks in the emini S&P’s on most trades and occasionally less, but rarely ever more. I did get a little frustrated in waiting for what I felt was coming.  It did come in the form of a  8-10 point fast move to the upside and I did catch it with even an add on just at the right time. The add on was the right entry and the indicators confirm. The day did turn out to be better than double daily goal and another solid week of gains.

The first four days of the week, I only took one trade or series of trades to hit my daily goal for the session (all trades always posted), reducing my time in the markets by a big margin. With summer in full swing, relaxing a little is totally acceptable, to me anyway.

A week or two ago, in trying to be positive and hoping that things will still yet hold up, (without reason) I wanted to believe that those on “The Hill”, would get it figured out. That optimism has been slipping. I won’t make any market calls but will say that if the lows of mid June get taken out than we will likely see much more selling taking the market down substantially of upwards to -100 S&P points. It is my belief that this area is critical to hold on to, or else.

In the week ending last Friday, market insiders have been selling their company shares at a higher pace than any time since the data began keeping track, 1974. This would be for company’s listed on the entire New York Stock Exchange. (Source, Vickers weekly insiders report)  Wow.  The ratio was pegged at over 13 to 1, which means that for every share that was bought in the open market by insiders, there were 13+ shares that were sold.

This is pretty significant any way you look at it and should not be discounted. A company insider, usually knows a little more about what you can expect than many analysis and has always been a good indication of future market direction, especially since it is the strongest reading ever posted. It is almost like someone got a memo and passed it around in a hurry. Maybe they know something?  Well, I would not think it as impossible.

With the market teetering on the edge right now, it won’t take much to send it over the cliff. Conventional wisdom would say that Washington gets it together and raises the debt ceiling just like they always do for the last decades. Why would they do different this time?  That was the attitude back in April when this was first coming into focus. I at the time knew different and thought that it was not going to be that easy this time around.

In fact in a blog article dated April 5th, 2011, just a few months ago, I stated that we would see a better than 50 % chance that a default of some kind of altercation was going to come from this debt ceiling problem. They may get it together but not before there is some kind of fall out.  I really wanted to go with a higher percentage, but I guess I was trying to play it safe. My feelings then were very strong about it and as you can see here we are again coming down to the wire and it does not look good; ( theater)

Things are not always as they appear and with all the political theater going on that is clear to see for most people at this point. There is a bigger goal here in mind with agenda’s. It reminds me of back when they were trying to sell the Iraq war, same thing.

Let me post a link to that April 5th article for those who want to read it. The whole article is really pretty good with some other interesting view points coming for 2012. I think it is a must read for that content as well as the debt ceiling call.     www.sniperdaytrading.com/2011/04/free-report-massive-economic-shift-in-2012/

Below is another related link that I also make mention of the debt ceiling and some very different insight by me on related matters. It is all significant because it lends insight into what might be going on behind the scene.   www.sniperdaytrading.com/2011/05/stock-market-year-of-economic-panic/   This link is from my May 17th blog posting and again I think it is a good read.

A week or two ago, in trying to be positive and hoping that things will still yet hold up, (without reason) I wanted to believe that those on “The Hill”, would get it figured out. That optimism has been slipping. I won’t make any market calls but will say that if the lows of mid June get taken out than we will likely see much more selling taking the market down substantially of upwards to -100 S&P points. It is my belief that this area is critical to hold on to, or else.

If you go to those other two links you will have plenty to read, so I will just wrap it up here. The moral of the stories, if you can say that, “be an independent thinker” and “learn from history”. Doing so will put you in a possible position to increase your wealth while others are struggling to just hold on.

Trade well, trade committed,  Vince

Stock Market Year of Economic Panic

Tuesday, May 17th, 2011

5-17-11;  So far this year, we have seen so many market crisis’s, one after another and yet the market has overall continued to go higher. Here is a list of some of the things we have seen so far this year.

First there was the municipal bond panic, followed by euro dollar panic, the Greek debt panic, the U.S. dollar panic, quantitative easing (Fed printing) panic, the rising inflation panic, Oil-Gold-Silver- Commodity panic, Japanese earthquake nuclear disaster panic, the middle east uprising panic, the S&P debt rating panic and more. Even a few days ago, we had the markets sell off because it was believed that a train in England had been a target of a terror attack.

With each of these market panic’s, we saw the prices continue to rise and rise. The news is terrible, with housing in the dumps and unemployment showing no signs of getting better , but worse. Some are asking the question, why is the stock market going up.

Well, this goes to show you, that you can not trade from the news and expect the market to react the way you might think. Doing so, can get you in a lot of trouble. I think there are those buying for the sake of buying, with some outside chance that things will recover and maybe they are right, or not.

I do know the market sentiment has just become somewhat a non event. The bullish extremes have not effected the market from selling off either. Some would say the market is being manipulated and to some degree I do think that, but you don’t have to control the whole market to lead others along. Sometimes all it takes is little nudge here and there and that sparks the general audience to participate and they buy only because everyone else is buying and the saga continues.

It won’t last forever and one day, the market will adjust itself to reflect all the excess that has been built up into it over this last 7 months. I remember around last Thanksgiving, we could have easily seen a sell off, but instead we saw a continuation of the rally and it has not looked back much since then.

Currently, we may have another potential panic brewing with the “Debt Ceiling” being reached and the government up against a wall. I hear a lot of tough talk from the politicians but nothing significant is likely to change. I did think a month ago when we were at this same point, that something was going to happen, and it again may, but the odds are that they just spend, borrow and print more money. When will it end? Until it breaks and that may be the plan all along.

Power breads more power and that breads more control and so on. It has been going on for centuries and it is happening here in America. The constitution no longer means much and those defending it are demonized as some kind of nut. When will it end, when it breaks and those in power again come up with the solution and I will bet most won’t like it. If they tried to implement measures now, no one would ever easily go along with it, but only until there is a crisis and panic, will the resistance be overcome.

The people in power are not dumb, they are much smarter than many give them credit for. As it relates to the markets, they want it to go up, giving us all the allusion that everything is OK, until we all see one day that it is not, then the American people and investors get fleeced again.

That is way day trading is has increased in popularity. You have greater control over your risk capital as long as you know what and how to do it. For most traders trying to find there way, it is not a profitable venture. It does not have to be that way. By taking control of your destiny by becoming a profitable trader, you are in some way protesting to all the laws and regulations that they put us under every day. We become less free as the years go by, just look back 10-15 years ago and then to today. A very different world.

Just like in trading, not everything is as it appears in the real world. If we new the truth about so many of the very big things that has happened, say, the last 10 years, most Americans could not handle it and so choose to be lead into a dream state, for self preservation.

When you see what looks like a rally coming, soon turns into a market sell-off. Where did that come from, you might ask?  It was there the whole time, but you did not see it. It is the same in real world events. We have to be independent thinkers and not be lead along to believe what is conventional wisdom. Again, the same in trading. If you go along with popular belief, you will be most likely wrong. The majority is usually wrong, the majority rarely gets it right, the majority will see it all to late and the damage is already done. So many parallels between these two.

I guess I am kind of on a rant here, talking a little off topic, but then again, maybe not. Back to trading where I will finish this up. Most traders will not see the moves coming in the market, when they do see it, the money has been made. They buy at the top and sell at the bottom. We should be buying as the market goes up and selling as it is going down. Don’t try and pick market Tops and Bottoms. There is money to be made in the middle along the way.

Keep your risks low, don’t get greedy, be patient, have a trading method and plan and be disciplined to follow it all. Good Trading to all,  Vince !

Good Gains in Fast Market Today

Thursday, April 7th, 2011

Today is Thursday, April 7th and the markets got a kick in the pants today as we saw some real movement in the Dow and S&P’s.

Some news came out about 8 a.m West Coast, I think it about worries of government shut down tomorrow.  That got things hopping, 12 points straight down, in short order.  I was not trading yet, so I missed it. I came in at the tail end of that move and picked up a small piece before it turned around.

I did not take the move back up, but waited for things as they were likely to then again retest. I did come in early on my second trade short and the trade got away from me a little, as I was trying to exit at a smaller loss. I tried to make the best of it and did add to the position, but I added while still at a loss of two ticks on my first. That is not normal for me and did take on a little extra heat as the third add on was the right one. No heat after my entry there short and that did work out nicely.

I took it on the safe side covering some and holding some, as I did see lower prices. It all worked out as I covered my last just at the bottom for 5 points on that one, and good gains on the previous.

50 minutes of trading, less than an hour. That is about the amount of time I like to put in. Trading all day does not interest me, but when I start late, I to often have to stick around a while to get what the market gives me. That is it for now. Tomorrow is a new day. Today’s trading grade, (B) My trades for today below. Good trading to all. Vince.

Free Report – Massive Economic Shift in 2012

Tuesday, April 5th, 2011

Today is Tuesday, April 5th 2011 and we saw the Dow and S&P make new highs in today’s session only to fall back in the last couple of hours. The Dow was leading the way, then came the S&P index. After a slight new high, the cracks started  to show up just before 1 p.m. New York. Pretty much straight down from there, as we ended up inside the middle of the days trading range.

I have not posted for the past few sessions as some may have noticed. I have been sick and still trying to keep up with obligations, a bit of a tall task. I was still able to trade, as this cold I have has been lingering which would have meant no trading for over a week. I took my chances and have been doing about the same as when not sick, which is good. Many times my patients and judgment can get the better of me, which does remind me, I did take a few very bad trades that came out of nowhere. I have the last three days below for those who want to see and will continue with something I started to talk about last week that I did not finish.          Today’s trades here on top.

Monday’s Trades below;

Friday’s Trades below;

————————————————————————————————————————————————

Now that that is done, I would like to continue with where I left off, which I will now have to remember. I was talking about “Age Demographic’s” and how that effects the direction of the Stock Market, the economy and will bring on a “massive economic shift in 2012″.

This is something I read in 2004 and was impressed with, so I saved it. I never forgot the power of this information and what it means for the future. The information stated that for the next 8 years we would see growth and an expanding economy, but that was going to change in a big way in 2012, as a major age demographic’s shift was going to take place.

The purchasing power of the 45 to 54 year old’s drives the economy and markets. It has been this way graphed and recorded since 1920 and likely to continue its track record. I am looking at a graph of the age group as people move into it and out of it, a net change is recorded and graphed. That change is almost totally identical to the economy and stock market.

So, what happens in 2012?  If you don’t want to know, stop reading here and go do something else, because it is not pretty. Last chance…………  going, going,  OK;   here it is.

We are looking at an unprecedented drop like we have never seen before and it lasts a long time. The age demographic shift does not turn back up until 2025 and posts 13 negative years of stock market growth. WOW. That sounds like the end and it could be financially for some who have been trained into buy and hold. There is a lot more in this article, 4 pages of details backed up with data points and a historical track record going back to 1920. It is impressive, that is why I saved it back then and reporting about it here today 7 years later, as it becomes more relevant with 2012 looming.

These facts don’t take into account anything else other than age demographic’s. With the current situation as the country is in, bulging deficits and overall debit in all categories, across the board, fed, state, local, business, private, and so on, what is it going to look like as this things get rolling along.

Currently, the government has said it may have to shut down this Friday April 8th with no budget agreed on in Washington. Stuff like this is only gong to intensify all of which has nothing to do with the shift, but will only exacerbate it. This time I think there is better than a 50% chance that it will.

I told you above, you could have stopped reading. I wasn’t kidding. This kind of thing can become scary, but I would say, don’t let your fear take over. How are you going to capitalize on it and come out ahead of the game. There are things you can do to protect your wealth and you should start looking into it. Paper money, is going to be inflated and since the the debt issue is so huge, they don’t want to raise rates like they did back in the early eighties. That brought Gold and Silver off there perch. This time, they can hardly raise rates or want to, for various reasons.

The obvious is the borrow rates would go up and thus their true cost for servicing the debt. This is an indirect way of taking money right out of the peoples pockets.  It has been said, by some reliable sources that  70% of the bond market auction is bought up by the Fed. This is the Quantitative easing that they said would help keep rates low and stimulate the economy. It is going to do a lot more than that. Investors are loosing faith in the process and just staying away.

So much more I could say, but the last thing I will say is, if you want me to email you this 4 page report, I will. You will find it a very interesting read and it may help motivate you to do something about it, which is a good thing how ever you look at it. This shift is not going to go away, and it is not different this time. The baby boomers are retiring in massive numbers to boot. Well, if you would like me to send you the report, I will. I won’t be hounding you about signing up for anything, but if you have questions, I would be glad to answer what I can.

The last question I have you.  Will you be ready for this “massive economic shift in 2012″?  If you not, it is coming, ready or not.

Best to all my readers, Vince

Age Demographic’s Drives Economy Part 1

Wednesday, March 30th, 2011

Today is Wednesday March 30th and we continued to see the major market Index’s move higher as it soon approaches its previous highs.

It is likely that we will soon see a double top in the S&P 500 at 1335 at a minimum. This market is being driven, but by what? Some would call it money creation, but who wants to spoil the party. Well, it won’t last forever, that is for sure. The economy has so many problems brewing in it, its not even funny.

Let me share something, the economy is being driven by the purchasing power of the people in 45-54 age group. Those people will be pouring out of that demographic group that again drives our economy faster that than any time in the century during the years 2011 2012.

If you go back through history, you can see this. This group will not be buying cars, boats, traveling, etc, as they will be more focused on retirement and their big ticket item purchases will be a thing of the past.

With that said, this will have a direct effect on the economy and stock market for 13 years as that is when the demographic’s for that age group turn back  up. There is a direct correlation and can be charted year over year for the past 90 years and you can see just how accurate this gauge is. Amazing, is all I can say. I will talk more about this during this week and the week end as I have a report written 7 years ago that has so far come to pass prophetically, with the next chapter about to begin.

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I did not post yesterday but I have yesterday and today’s trades below. Let me post them first. Today’s trades first

Tuesday’s trades below

The market has been very slow lately. Hard to figure for this early in the year, but you have to trade what you have before you or step aside. Trading is not easy but let me say, it can be simple. If you know what to do, the rest lies on us. We either perform in a way that can book gains, or we don’t.

The reason for falling short, again falls on our shoulders. The first key is being grounded in a solid trading method that you can build on over time. One that never gets old or stale, but one that is always relevent and tradable day in, day out and so on. One that is price action related and not indicator based.

If you have a good trading method, then work on yourself to follow through with it and build your niche. If you don’t have one, then you need to write one that works. If you either can’t or don’t have the time, then you need to search for something that fits you and your objectives.

The good part about this method is, it defenitely can be taylored for the individual. All traders are different and there is no one size fits all. Tayloring time frames, profit objectives, using profit target, scaling in, scaling out, adding to wining positions and the like are key.

That’s it for today, but more to come on what I wrote about at the top of today’s blog, so stay tuned. Good Trading to all