Archive for 2012

Busy Week in the Markets Coming Up

Monday, April 23rd, 2012

Today is Monday April 23rd and a fairly quiet day in the market. A quick post here today with a screen shot of the bulk of today’s action where I did pickup my daily goal plus on heavier volume than normal as well.   Before I do, a comment on last week, where it was overall an OK week with daily goals hit all but one, where the stop out day was a 2.50 point loss for the session in the S&P emini futures.

The rest of this week will be filled with a ton of news and we should see some pretty good movement. There is also a Fed announcement this week which should play a part in the mix of good price movement.

I hope to get back on track with posting every day, but I will take it one day at a time.  So here was the days action and hope to be back tomorrow with a lot more to say. Best to you all. Vince

Reading the Stock Market

Monday, April 16th, 2012

Today is Tuesday April 16th, 2012 and another day in the trading world. The market movement has gotten a little better in the last few weeks and hope we see more of it.

The activity level goes in cycles with strong and weak movement, but as day traders, we have to take the good with the bad. Movement means opportunity and the lack of it could mean that traders struggle.

Taking what is available based on the current read of the market is a skill that can be learned. It is not easy, that is for sure, but it can be looked upon like you would read a research paper. It may not make sense at first, but as you absorb the content, it starts to speak to you.

That can only come about when you know the language and that is again something that can be learned. Every day the market exhibits a structured approach to what it does. Many who look on just see the moves up and down and it may look like it is random. I would say that it only looks random and there is much more structure than your natural eye see’s.

Separating the market noise from the key area’s of interest, is where is starts. As traders we don’t have to track and be ahead of every move, but just those moves that show a high probability of success in our favor. That means the majority on the other end are getting it wrong. What will make us confident enough to put up a margin with a controlling interest of many times that investment in the anticipation that it will roll in our favor?  The answer to that is knowing the market language and what to expect when the structure presents itself as such.

In today’s market, we saw just that language played out many times. Again, you don’t have to have every tick tracked and traced, but only those that present opportunity with a greater degree of success. You need a trading method that you can count on and one that is proven to perform and you yourself need to be reliable enough to execute it and not get taken captive by your wants and desires. Its not about you, but it all depends on you.

In today’s trading I did well, hitting double daily trading goal but it could have been a lot better had I woken on time. I won’t bore you with the details, but you can look onto the days chart and see what I mean. I had about a 12 point run just up to the opening bell and let it all slip away for a 3 tick loss. I did catch a early couple of trades and small loss in the night session, but it all turned out just slightly ahead.

Later in the session I took on a couple of small losses but saw what I was looking for with some nice extended gains scaling out towards my target area at the top for a nice day.

I did not post for Friday, so I will include Friday’s session here today as well. I remember that session had a large sell off early on then needed time to absorb that drop. That meant slower action and smaller moves. This is something of what I was talking about in being able to read the market. It said, it was not going to move big, but small moves yes. That is when I need to taylor at least in part some of my exits for smaller gains because that is all there is if I am trading during that time. My only choice is to wait for things to come together and that did happen in the last 30 minutes of Friday’s session. I called out the possible drop right at the breaking point but I was done for the session with daily goal in hand.

Tomorrow is a new day and new beginnings and so until then, good trading to all. Vince

Friday’s trading day below by itself;

Large T-3 Trade Screen View

Thursday, April 12th, 2012

Today, Thursday April 11th, I did no trading but do show a continuation of one of my trade screens, the larger zoomed in view of my T-3 trade screen.

This screen is for traders who want to take fewer trades, but for higher point moves. You will have to wait through a good portion of the day to let these setups come together, but it can be very worth your time.

I don’t often trade from this screen, but I look at it all the time to see where I am in the bigger picture. This view may give some traders an idea of what could be possible when the markets are moving.

The trade indicators are not the method by any means, but they are consistent with it. I often say that, because it is important to understand that trading off of price action is the key to long term success. You can not rely on trade indicators because you give up your understanding of what is going on with the price.

Traders always need to remember “why they are entering a trade” and or they should know why. That gives some form of conviction to stay with it and let it perform. If you don’t know why you are going into the trade, you can easily be shaken from it for no good reason.

Trading well is not based on feelings, because feelings can easily mislead you. Seeing and knowing what is the likely path of price is key and is what is taught within the trading method.

This is different, from my normal screen shots, but it might be helpful to know that the method accommodates different things for different traders.

It also takes in a very small view and setups that again I don’t often show, for just scalping 3-4 ticks out of a trade. This holds a higher percentage than the other two somewhat, but is all within the trading method. Not every trader comes with the same expectations but the method is able to accommodate just about everyone.

The markets are fractal in nature and is consistent within those different time frame views. That can also be taken on up into hourly, daily and even weekly charts and they will all perform and act consistently within the trading method. That is what I mean by “fractal”, the same but at different levels.

I hope this helps a little in showing you what a trader can expect to see, learn and apply with the trading method. The very best to you all. Vince

Big Overnight Move Long

Wednesday, April 11th, 2012

Today is April 11th, 2012 and I had a big overnight move carryover from yesterday with a 12 point S&P move at the top.

Not a lot of words here but will let the charts speak for itself for the last 3 trading sessions. I show a different view on one chart because I could not fit it all in and will give you some added insight into trading larger moves.

I have what I call my T-3 trade screen which is set up for bigger moves. You will see a zoomed in view of it which will show a lot less trades, but they will be for much larger gains. The risk is usually a little higher, but if you use the method in a way as I show in Monday’s chart, you can get in on a smaller risk basis and it can move into a bigger gain basis.

Again, there are notes on the screen to tell a little more and will just post them here below. Lastly, the indicators are not the method but they will be consistent with it. We trade a method that works and the indicators only confirm it. The best to you all. Vince

Today’s and yesterdays chart;

Monday’s trades and day;

April 4th & 5th Trading Sessions

Thursday, April 5th, 2012

Today’s Trades and turning turning points for Thursday’s session April 5th, 2012

Wednesday trades and turning points for April 4th, 2012;

Last Two Trading Sessions

Tuesday, April 3rd, 2012

I will post the last two trading sessions and hope to start writing more soon about whats going on in the markets and maybe some helpful info for those learning to scalp trade various markets.

Monday’s and Tuesday’s S&P emini trades and market turns. Just a reminder, the trading indicators are not the the method as that stands on its own with complete separate rational. The indicators confirm what is already there happening in the background. Good Trading to all. Vince

Monday’s session;

Today’s, Tuesday’s session;

The Days Trades

Sunday, April 1st, 2012

Just posting my last two sessions for Thursday and Friday’s session 3-29-12 and 3-30-12.

Thursdays session;

Friday’s session;

Thursday’s session was basically a double daily goal, which was good for me to cover Friday’s flat session. Friday, I took on a couple of non method trades, in looking for a much larger drop that did not come. I threw in the towel just at the last minutes of the close and it was a good thing, with the large gap higher in Sunday’s night session.

Monday is a new day and a new week, so until then, good trading to all. Vince

Nice Reversal off the Day’s Bottom

Wednesday, March 28th, 2012

Today is Wednesday March 28th and took on the market late in the session for about a 3 point S&P gain in two trades.

We did see follow through from yesterday’s late sell off and I did write and think that the sell off would spill into today’s session and it sure did. The late day rally off an identifiable bottom was a good place to reverse course for a counter trend rally long and it came it as I thought it would also.

I took just a couple of long trades and traded a touch over an hour for an easy day and daily goal. These are the ones I like and will be looking for more of the same in tomorrow and Friday’s market. Let me post my trades below with other points of interests as I usually mark.

I hope to write more for tomorrows market, but this will do it for me today. Thanks for tuning in and always trade committed and trade safe.

Big Overnight Trade Completed Successfully

Tuesday, March 27th, 2012

Today is Tuesday March 27th, and all is well.

I will post my chart from the Friday carry over that I took. It was a stretch, in addition to being a little larger size for me, but I will have to say, it worked out great. I did cover just one contract on Sunday night for a 3.50 point gain just in case and still had only a 5 tick stop the whole way.

On Monday morning, I covered the rest of the position of 4 contracts, about 45 minutes after the open, just after a nice push higher still, for a roughly 14 point S&P gain. That was great and I was glad to get it. Again, that is something I don’t usually do, but the method did say that it was going higher with little interruption. Once it got going it moved with “gusto” to post new yearly highs.

In today’s market, we saw a continuation of that big move Monday, but a late day failure about 45 minutes into the close got the market coming off those highs.  That typically is a sign for some continued weakness in the next day or two,  just in a general sense.

Today’s trading was a flat day, with little movement when I started things up. I did not want to push it, as I just could feel that I did not have good patients to wait this market out. There were a couple of easy one point trades, but I only took a couple of ticks on each.  Tomorrow is a new day and hope to see some good movement with it. Good Trading to All!

Friday and Monday’s Finishing Trade;

Today’s Trades;

Normal Market Behavior

Saturday, March 24th, 2012

This post is for Friday market 3-23-12, where we continue to see more of the same, a slow dull market with little movement. Being able to scalp trade, offers advantages in getting a little here and there and getting out. All that can only happen if one is able to read the market to the degree that puts the advantage on your side.

Many traders run into problems when they overstay a move and end up giving it back. This only adds to frustrations and forced trades. I did have a little of that in Friday’s day myself with the market going nowhere later in the day. The early moves came in pretty good, but like clockwork these days, the market is closing with little conviction.

The late day starts for me are not making it easier, but my mornings have me doing other things for now so I have to just accept it or don’t trade. I choose to accept it and work with what I have for now.

Getting back to overstaying a trade, to often in a choppy market, prices fall back and can shake out many a trader, only to then move in the intended direction. This is all normal market behavior and has to do with a market digesting earlier gains and marking some time. Nothing goes up in a straight line and it is again normal for pause, rest, and pull back to take place on the way to higher prices.

All of this has to be balanced in where you were in relation to where you currently are now. This is called reading the market and understanding the balance of power. This can be taken down to very small levels and or take up to much higher intervals for corresponding returns.

The one good thing with emini trading is the leverage offers the ability to make substantial gains on small moves. The key here is, you have to be right more often than not while keeping your trading composure along the way.

It can be easy to loose control and is the ruin of many traders. Emotions and not being able to accept your losses and or give in to the fact that you might be wrong about market direction. I speak to myself just as much as I speak to those who read on.

I will post my trades from Thursday and Friday below. I made a few easy points on Thursday with a increase in contract size to shorten up my day and still have open orders from Fridays session with unrealized gains. I am taking a risk with this as it is the weekend, but I have to live with it and I will if it goes bad.

Enjoy the rest of your weekend and good trading to all, Vince

Thursdays session;

Friday’s Session;