This post is for Friday’s market as the Index’s pulled off Thursdays intra-day low of 1006.
The market had a negative bias to it on Friday after the open which lasted for several hours. We started to flatten out around mid session and then made a run for it. The market did a pretty good job, but just before the close, no one wanted to hold over the long weekend and things sold off quickly. Modest losses for the Dow and NASDAQ as well.
Where do we go from here? Well, everything is down except for the monthly charts right now. It is hard to say, but I would like this market to hold up for while before any major cracks take place, but the market is not going to listen to me. As the days go by, we will afford more of a move down, so as for the Dow to get to the 9500 area or so. The index’s are not exactly in sync and some backing and filling may have to be done to get things lined up with each other. The number S&P 1006 was significant last week, but as time passes, if will allow for the market to come down a little more. We had a 20 S&P point advance off of the 1006 number but I do see that there could be more room for things to settle in here. It is all pretty close. There is a chance that we could hold on to the lows set on Thursday and by Wednesday move out higher. I will just have to see how things shape up on Tuesday first.
There is a lot of room for the market to drop if it wants to, but if we can contain any new selling to afford the Dow to get to 9500 + or -, we could see a good move off of that number. The new sentiment numbers will come out on Wednesday morning and there could be new developments there. We were holding at 41% bullish and a reading of 35% or less should trigger a counter move up. Since the markets will be closed on Monday, that gives us only one day to see what it will do. A 6% drop is kind of a lot to drop in one week, but I have seen it happen plenty of times before.
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Friday’s trading was bit tough for me. It all turned out OK in the end, but I came up to my daily loss limit (4 S&P points) and could have went slightly over it if my last trade did not work out. My judgment was off and it caused me to struggle. I saw something, a big move coming and was acting ahead of the move so as not to miss it. I had built a position with three entries just before my last trade and it did not work out. Only a small loss around 4-5 ticks but I really needed to wait on that move for a better entry. The move was just brewing in the hopper, waiting to jump out, but I needed more patients. The last trade made up for all the mistakes and I hit better than my daily goal. I have similar notes on my screen below if you click on it, once and then again to blow it up if you care to see. Video of the last trade in U-Tube video gallery posted on Friday too.
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Steps for establishing your goals:
1) Start by doing what you know works, then experiment with new applications. When in doubt, try to do more of what your already doing that is already delivering the results you want.
2) Build the right back up scenario’s into your plan. What might go wrong? Anticipate the unexpected at every level of achievement and don’t let concern about your own status as others perceive it, keep you from making the right choices in the right situations.
3) Get feedback from the right people on the pros and cons of your trading plan. People who give constructive feedback want to see you grow and people who offer only negative thoughts want to see you stay the same. Don’t waste your time talking to people who want to make you feel bad about yourself or question your dream altogether.
4) Keep your eye on the goal, but don’t get tunnel vision as it relates to other obligations. You have to balance your goals as it relates to the big picture. Do something each day that takes you closer to reaching your trading goals and is a reminder to yourself that you are going forward and making progress. The key is balance all other things of importance so other things do not suffer at the expense of reaching your goal.
5) Keep learning and growing and remember no one does it all alone. If the problems down the road look too large to you while you are setting up your plan, remember, you will be a big person by the time you need to solve them. To often we hold off on growth because we worry, “How would I handle all these problems”. We assume that we will never be smarter than we are right now and that we will never run into anyone else who offers skills and experiences that complement your own.
If you are a struggling trader and want to bounce an idea or two off of me, feel free to send me an email and I will give you my constructive thoughts on it. Many times traders do not have anyone to talk to about what they are trying to accomplish and it can be frustrating, because they may be going in the wrong direction. I won’t be trying to get you signed up with my trading course unless you want to, but if you ask a legitimate trading question or questions, I will give you a professional answer, no more. It is up to you to ask. If you struggle with concentration and focus, ask me for a free copy of my E-Book on “The Power of Concentration”. Again, no strings attached and I will not be hounding you with this or that. Just ask for it and its yours, that is it, and again, if you have questions, I will be happy to answer. So, think it through and send me any email. We are half way through the year, make the second half count in reaching your trading goals.
Good Trading,
Vince
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Please send me your e-book on “The Power of Concentration.” I like what you’ve done on your site. I will be checking in. I’ve lost a lot, for me, in the past trading, but that was a during the dot.bomb.
I get scared out of the market when I should stay. I’m more of a swing trader now. The only thing I’m worried about now is Citi. I bought it too high and now I’m stuck. I don’t think I should take the loss, but it’s got my money tied up. What do you think? I bought in at 4.73 a share.
You seem sincere in what you write and I’d like to hear more of what you have to say.
Thanks.
Susan